Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Harlan’s Bond |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ribbonsinherhair |
2.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Follow Your Arrow |
2.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Union Suit |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dolce Sera |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1A |
6 |
How Sweet She Is |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Rachel’s Rock |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Disco Ebo |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sweet Brown Sugar |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ocean Gateway |
5.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dame Cinco |
2.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Princess Becca |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Grace Reformed |
1.60 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Brooklyn Dantz |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Baroness Bourbon |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Amy’s Light |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Monetary Monarch |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Fade to Grey |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Brown Suga Babe |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bobby Jean |
10.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Points Is Points |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
La Vita Sofia |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gold Lightning |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Yo Daddy |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tabeguache |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Classic Catch |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Repo Rocks |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Kinetic Sky |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Winit |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Natural Harbor |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Legal Deal |
4.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Commerce Comet |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fromanothamutha |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Royal Tryst |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Screaming Uncle |
30.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Celestial Glaze |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Capital Conquest |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
True Connection |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Taparino |
8.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Nilruc |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bad Boy Butch |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Very Satisfactory |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Limits of Power |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Prairie Dunes |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Noble One |
30.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dream Alliance |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.