Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 6, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Harlan’s Bond 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Ribbonsinherhair 2.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Follow Your Arrow 2.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Union Suit 3.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Dolce Sera 15.00 3.4 6-1
1A 6 How Sweet She Is 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Rachel’s Rock 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Disco Ebo 3.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Sweet Brown Sugar 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Ocean Gateway 5.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Dame Cinco 2.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Princess Becca 1.40 1 2-1
4 4 Grace Reformed 1.60 1.4 3-1
5 5 Brooklyn Dantz 4.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Baroness Bourbon 10.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Amy’s Light 12.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Monetary Monarch 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fade to Grey 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Brown Suga Babe 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Bobby Jean 10.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Points Is Points 3.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 La Vita Sofia 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Gold Lightning 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Yo Daddy 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Tabeguache 3.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Classic Catch 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Repo Rocks 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Kinetic Sky 2.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Winit 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Natural Harbor 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Legal Deal 4.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Commerce Comet 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Fromanothamutha 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Royal Tryst 8.00 3 6-1
6 6 Screaming Uncle 30.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Celestial Glaze 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Capital Conquest 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 True Connection 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Taparino 8.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Nilruc 4.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Bad Boy Butch 8.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Very Satisfactory 3.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Limits of Power 3.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Prairie Dunes 12.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Noble One 30.00 5 9-1
9 9 Dream Alliance 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.