Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 6, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Jojo Bean 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Tensas Bolt 4.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Thundering Desire 3.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Grand Empress 12.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Jazzy Gal 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Smittys Cheetah 12.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Wosiemaks 10.00 5.6 10-1
1 1 Vanna G 20.00 6 11-1
5 5 Ostrica 6.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Wickedrevolution 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Perfect Dixie Lady 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Autumn Rhythm 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Black Ginger 4.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Terra Bella 1.80 2.4 5-1
1 1 Carson Bay 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Smalltownsmokeshow 4.50 4.4 8-1
3 3 Birthday Girl 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Alvarado Cat 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Starry Eyed 8.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Angelic Knight 10.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Gordito Hermoso 4.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Check Me Out 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Rayden and Remi 4.50 5.5 10-1
3 3 Catchin Drama 20.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Garfish 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Always Practical 0 0-1
5 5 Always Practical 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Make a Million 4.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 Delicate 10.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Betty’s Dance 2.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Red Zone 3.50 3 6-1
6 6 Don’t Blink 6.00 4 7-1
1 1 Armaleese 12.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Fuego K 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Chrome Baby 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Overanalytical 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 Release McCraken 4.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Tiger Moon 4.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Ember 3.50 5.4 10-1
2 2 Tres Soles 6.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Gilmore 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Just the Sky 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Ragtime Lady 3.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Candy Bar 4.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Smooth Waves 6.00 1.7 3-1
10 10 For Love and Honor 8.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Box of Pictures 12.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Toasted Roll 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Venomous Vixen 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 La Foret 8.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Mo Shiro 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Pretty Prairie 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Delightful Halo 10.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Spicy Mustard 12.00 4 8-1
6 6 Becky’sgottahaveit 4.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Jus Makes Cents 10.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Awree 10.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Kalil 10.00 6 11-1
5 5 Coteau Moment 4.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Party On Girl (IRE) 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Rue Lala 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Off Ramp 4.00 4 8-1
5 5 Richies Princess 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Girls Weekend 5.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Notice Me Too 12.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Gavea (GER) 5.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Numero Seis 6.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Aunt Becca 6.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Kaely’s Sister 2.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Tu Cha 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Ervadean 3.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Easy Red 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Honor His Half 15.00 1 2-1
1 1 Runtolive 4.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Basile 3.50 2.4 5-1
7 7 Lulu’s Magic 6.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Copper Crush 4.50 2.7 5-1
10 10 Radiant Rebel 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Fast Medicine 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Cairo Charm 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Precious Money 10.00 7.7 14-1
6 6 Talkabout 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.