Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Lindsay Smiles |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Abundant Love |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Grade A |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Amalfi Sunset |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Smooth Claret |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Starship Melody |
6.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Win After Win |
8.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Big Lous Messenger |
20.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
3 |
3 |
Calling the Shots |
10.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Princess Cairo |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Always to the End |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Miss Athletic |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Did I Dazzle You |
12.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Uncaptured Skeet |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Free Charging |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Coeur Douloureux |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Koutoubia |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Evanora |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
You Be the Judge |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Argumental |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Five Eyes Onmichel |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Princess Miss Emil |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Tiger Lil |
|
0 |
0-1 |
5 |
5 |
His Choice |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
One Special Act |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sonny’s Goldenlady |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Adios Laka |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tiger Lil |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mrs. Cash Man |
30.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Windrush |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Iron Shield |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Public Sector (GB) |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Activist Investing (GB) |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Royal Majesty (GB) |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Union Trail |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Degree of Risk |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
On Thin Ice |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Understudy Kitty |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Merlin |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Drum Roll Please |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Zverev |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Khoolzan |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Top Maverick |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Divo d’Oro |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Black Fury |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lasso |
1.80 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Call the Cavalry |
3.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Go Jimmy Go |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Epitaph |
12.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Torch Is Passed |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Moon Factor |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bucchero’s Dude |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lazio |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dumb Money |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Turbulent Force |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
City of Oscars |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tank |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Classic of Course |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Alinao Forever |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Krioyo |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Scarecrow |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Saratoga Cruiser |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Captain Junuh |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Amande |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Vespera |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cayman Caper |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
We Sea You (IRE) |
4.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Babu |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mischief Night |
3.50 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Golden Valley |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Giddy Up Baby |
15.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
C C Girl |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.