Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 7, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 My Angel 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Good Mission 3.00 2 4-1
3 3 Mia Nipotina 3.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Cuprite 5.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 She’s a Natural 10.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Hookin’ Up 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Nikki Brainburst 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Magical Ways 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Summer Cause 4.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Peek 5.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Olympic Dreams 10.00 4 8-1
6 6 Duke of Gloucester 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Masmak 1.40 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Lyphard’s Action 0 0-1
4 4 Goldcrest 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Spring Magic 8.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Willful Desire 3.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Hazardous Humor 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Latest Edition 15.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Vegas Weekend 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Adeleke 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mackville 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Ride Up 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Big Rich 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 King Freud 12.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Solo’s Fury 3.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Conniving 6.00 5 9-1
7 7 Basic Truth 30.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Majestic Arc 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Beachwalker 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Debate 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Majestic Frontier 3.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Kahala 4.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Venge 4.50 5.6 11-1
6 6 Allaboutthemoney 8.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Higher Quality 15.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Centavo 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Carol Said No 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 My Vanilla 3.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Gaga’s Hamsome 1.80 1.7 3-1
1 1 Who’s Got the Tip 30.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Power Driver 10.00 4 8-1
7 7 Selectively Sweet 15.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 No Factor 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Perfect Finish 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Colloquial 0 0-1
6 6 Grand Commander 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Colloquial 1.20 1.6 3-1
1 1 One Nine Hundred 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Fanatical 6.00 2 4-1
3 3 Toga d’Oro 12.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Turn and Count 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Porosity 20.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Quiet Moon 20.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Honor the Bull 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Moonlight Gal 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Tower Twenty Two 5.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Our Preferred Pal 4.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Syl’s Pleasure 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Giant At Work 12.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Esther’s Salad 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Instant Vision 20.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Secret Fire 30.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Trulli Magic 2.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.