Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 7, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Flying Houdini 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Allied Commander 3.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Skalkaho 4.00 1.9 3-1
2 2 Beautiful Life 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Great Runner 2.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Malibu Rain 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sikara Sikara 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Strawberry Sundae 5.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Dolly’s Guitar 5.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Sue’s Little Zing 6.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Fitts N Starts 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Our Little Girl 6.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Miss Kennedy 4.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Averi Ever After 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Come On Pop 0 0-1
Frosty Blue 0 0-1
8 8 Fast Beach 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Catman Tomkins 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Come On Pop 6.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Miracle On Central 5.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Crooked Bullet 10.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Valley of Fire 10.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Frosty Blue 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 One Improbable 10.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Purple Heart 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tribest (ARG) 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Frost and Fire 3.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Sister Saint 5.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Flight Control 5.00 5 9-1
1 1 Blushing Bonnie 12.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Shesasmalltowngirl 6.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Cabo Cowgirl 12.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Talksalot 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Fionn 0 0-1
2 2 Paris Lily 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Fine Finish 4.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Mad About Marie 5.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Gotanothathingcomn 8.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Fionn 4.00 3.4 7-1
1 1 Good Temper 6.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Taco Cat Backwards 8.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Merry and Bright 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Oak Hill Lg 4.50 1 2-1
10 10 Runninginthemoney 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Knockalittlelouder 6.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Drilling Report 4.50 5.1 10-1
9 9 Gallant Star 4.50 6 11-1
8 8 Smarty Alex 10.00 6 11-1
1 1 Swift N Traffic 15.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Half Magic 15.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Wise Guy 20.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Gypsy’s Soulmate 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Think Big 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Deer District 10.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Ambivalent 5.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Petcoff 3.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Linzer 8.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Kigali 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Felix 5.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Artemus Citylimits 8.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Call Me Andy 10.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 Mark of the Z 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Swift as I Am 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Ludwig 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 American Know How 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Sassi D 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Gunner Bay 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Abrir Caminos (CHI) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Buckskin Suzie 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Austyn Jane 12.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Mika Ella Pika 5.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Drama Queenie 4.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Platinum Midnight 4.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 One More Time Baby 8.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Chuchi 12.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Crimson Glory 20.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 Krafty Taffy 12.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.