Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Covert Law |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tip Toe Joe |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Putting Eagle |
1.60 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sir Gallivant |
4.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bye Bye Miles |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Frack Baby |
5.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
McMusic |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sharp Swinger |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Class Code |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Undecoded |
20.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Delphia |
6.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Just Like Magic |
30.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Super Enticing |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Miss Tappy Tone |
1.80 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tortuga Island |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Riobella |
3.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Courtney Fay |
30.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sicilian Grandma |
30.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
|
|
Tortuga Island |
|
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Emmallene |
30.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Good Call |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Chitoz’s Blur |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Oklahoma Logic |
1.60 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Donita |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Belvedere Club |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Moon Over Choctaw |
4.50 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Talent Connection |
6.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Devil’s Den |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Unnecessary Tricks |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Coach Sam P |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
More Money Mo |
5.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mandatory Mission |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Yeagers Strategy |
30.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
13 |
13 |
Angelsnbutterflies |
20.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
12 |
12 |
The Hit King Rose |
30.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
1 |
1 |
Stauf |
30.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
7 |
7 |
Crabtree |
4.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rerun |
3.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
14 |
14 |
Preacher’s Kid |
4.00 |
11.4 |
22-1 |
8 |
8 |
Saved |
20.00 |
11.7 |
22-1 |
3 |
3 |
Big Andy Mort |
4.50 |
13.6 |
26-1 |
9 |
9 |
Gee No Hollander |
4.50 |
14 |
26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Vaden |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Speechless |
1.80 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
10 |
10 |
Texas Funky |
30.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
11 |
11 |
Work Boots |
30.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Double Ride |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Always First |
30.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Silver Falcon |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wow That’s Hot |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sweet Music Man |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Montana Cafe |
2.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rev’s Tomb |
4.50 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
|
Texas Funky |
|
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Demotivate |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Interlock Empire |
5.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Redemption Time |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Nullify |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Game Keeper |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
The Thunderer |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rabbit Hound |
15.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
My Noble Knight |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tiz Wicked Strong |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
|
Nullify |
|
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
King Peanut |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lochmoor |
1.80 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bettys Cash |
12.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Navy Seal |
4.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Midnight Taxes |
2.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Willow Creek Road |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cooler King |
30.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dinner At Crumpies |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
One Ten Stadium |
5.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
|
Dinner At Crumpies |
|
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Rewire |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Barrel Thief |
15.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Chick Command |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Fastened |
30.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Air It Out |
4.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Humor Me Now |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mo Rum |
3.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Smackzilla |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Redbird Nation |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
More Than Five |
3.50 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cloud Without Rein |
12.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
McDude |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
First Division |
1.60 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Authentic Gallop |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rio Chama |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Capo Luca |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
What Me Worry |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Landing Craft |
1.20 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Arthur |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hey Eugene |
15.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dicey Wager |
20.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Drifter |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Burning Leaves |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Worth Looking |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Smokin’ Hot |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Captain Jack |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Husker Butch |
6.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Derby Date |
2.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dance Man |
10.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.