Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Love Our Family | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Professors’ Pride | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiergarten | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smiling Lady | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Highlands | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Chilly | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Proud Racer | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Papa Love’s Vegas | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beaus Buddy | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Excessive Thievery | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zen Zone | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Far Western | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Winds of Freedom | 0.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whiskeyinateacup | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Panuco | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 98 | Tiz Happy | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Have Patience | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Garden Party | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Cestrand | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Danzing Flyer | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Della Terra | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Broke the Code | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A. P’s Lucky Charm | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Practical Dazzle | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Lovely Idaho | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seaver Way | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Hermelinda’s Fancy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cangrejo | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fast Service | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bruiser | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | El Goloso | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Seaver Way | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Boston Burglar | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Careful Colin | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Remember That Nite | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Klimt A. P. | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Almost Snow | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mobe Town | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smarty Nose | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Perfect D | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rassler | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coulthard (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Southern Slang | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Teddy’s Triumph | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Nala | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swift Stephan | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz’s Harbor | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Maga | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Escape Plan | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Last Call Vron | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Doris Avenue | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Windribbon | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cajun Brother | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Otro Mas | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chasin Munny | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Come Out Fighting | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kahuna Magic | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Des Doigts | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bear Hunt | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Man Bags | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Wound Up | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | No Bad Beats | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Joyful Mischief | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Donttellourwives | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maximun Gold | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Happy Sue | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shore Lodge | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sunset Beauty | 2.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Allihies | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grey Market | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.