Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miss American Pie | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1A | 8 | Forever to Go | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miss American Pie | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Wild Mischief | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Moonlight Ready | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | St. Addie | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mega Changer | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Crimson Queen | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Vino Samara | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Damon Runyon S.) – Damon Runyon S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soontobeking | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Sand Devil | 0.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | National Identity | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fireballin | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Soontobeking | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just Licorice | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (East View S.) – East View S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernieandtherose | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| Naive Melody | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Boston’s Phinest | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Naive Melody | 1.20 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bernieandtherose | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Storm Changer | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Straca | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Limit Up | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kid Billy | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | On the Hill | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heavyweight Champs | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pop Coyer | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prince of Truth | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Messi the Magician | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Arm | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | One Vision | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Monomoys Partner | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gunman Jayvo | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Renew the Blue | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sway the Jury | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ten Run Rule | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gorzo | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stimuli | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Solomini’s Legacy | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Julian | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | She’s Complicated | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Paula’s a Star | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tremendous Bee | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spitfire Gal | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Delaware Devil | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Game Like Reyana | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sheer Will | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Magnum’s Microbrst | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Formaggio | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Maxaluna | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Last Mango | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Peony | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Easy Play | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Top of the Table | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ariana Rye | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Walk With Me | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | La Banquera | 1.60 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carol T | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bussia | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Poseidon’s Mist | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reddington | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 9 | 9 | Wico (IRE) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cascais | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Classic Legacy | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sheriff Bianco | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Treaty Obligation | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ridgewood Runner | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Expected Value | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gun It | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reddington | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | General Banker | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Skylander | 5.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Vekinda | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roofer | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Skytown | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Merica’s Back | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Solar Glare | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Consider It Done | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unbroken Chain | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Counter Move | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kismeholdmethrlme | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dominican Thunder | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Montauk Memoirs | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | State Park | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.