Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 8, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bandido Deal 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 He’s a Real Outfit 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Laser Clad 4.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Custom Ride 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Custom’s Cleared 5.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Running Ragged 10.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 The Wicked Cat 3.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Vineaux 10.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 V Cut 20.00 10.4 20-1
11 11 Romeo Spikes 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 First Samaritan 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Anacreon 4.00 SCRATCH
10 10 American Guy 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Write Off Jerry 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Risk Manager 2.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Breaking Alone 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Duke of Carthania 6.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Karlwithanarl 8.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Agent Creed 5.00 5 9-1
1 1 Maasai Warrior 8.00 7 13-1
8 8 Warrior Richard 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 She’s Single Again 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Beamer 8.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 My Bossy Lady 8.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Tartaria 15.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Miss Louise 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Golden Bonita 4.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Midnight Mary 15.00 6.1 12-1
11 11 Ultimate Sacrifice 15.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Chell Jae 20.00 8.2 15-1
12 12 Gin Run 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Add to Cart 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Cruzin Van Nuys 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Thrilla 0 0-1
1 1 One True Shance 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Dapper Moon 2.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Lil Muggs 2.50 4.6 9-1
3 3 Thrilla 10.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Sight 6.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Mr. Wallbanger 8.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Contrabandist 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Amadora’s Empire 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Fun to Run 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Carolina Smokeshow 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Chattanooga Crew 12.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Midnight Blaze 12.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Commanded 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Candybelle 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Incognito Burrito 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Warrior’s Justice 2.50 1.3 3-1
6 6 Margie’s Intention 2.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Fast Flame 4.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Baytown Boujee 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Factor of Time 12.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Majestic Rags 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Stingy 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Sendemdowntheroad 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Malibu Brad 3.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Daryl’s Bolt 4.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Hayhaycaptain Jac 12.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Over Calendared 4.50 6.9 13-1
1 1 Criminal Defense 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mardi Gras Mambo 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Temple of Peace 2.50 1.4 3-1
6 6 Battle Face 12.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Scootin’ Boots 8.00 4 7-1
4 4 Name the Time 6.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 The Fact Is 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Hard Cry 12.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Hard Kings 20.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Computerized 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.