Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lucency | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Denington | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trident Hit | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hern | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | American Law | 2.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Willy D’s | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Background | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coinage | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Seas of Normandy | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 8 | K Crown | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Cawkab | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | J T’s Imagination | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Aaron | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Mansoura | 50.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fight’n Ready | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 11 | Blessed Vision | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 12 | Point Blank | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Mystifier | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Hey Boss | 6.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Contrabandista | 3.50 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Stipulate | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bang Bang Fury | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nuit Magique | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Racquel Blue | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ride the Broom | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gun Twirl | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Get Frosty | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Taker Back | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Leilauni Sue | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Miracle Mack | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bigwrigdude | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Tizmarkus | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lake of Fire | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dawn Strategy | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Country Boy | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Whitley | 3.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Willy Cuts | 4.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Castle Gap | 2.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stormbender | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Captain Hamazing | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Four O Nine | 20.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Personal Jet | 5.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Swift Ruler | 15.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | On a Spree | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lucky Boss | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Megatap | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Family Tradition | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beealea | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Man On the Moon | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Thunderstruck | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lions Not Sheep | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Canadian Pharoah | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Aheadofthegame | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Out Run’m | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Galactic Empire | 50.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Colosi | 30.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Deflater | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Atomic Tone | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Camp David | 15.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | California Tiger | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eastside Cool | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dazzlemesilver | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fifty Cent Dollars | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Polterer | 4.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Logical Myth | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sonneman | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hello Hot Rod | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pats Property | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | I’m No Joke | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Top Gun Tommy | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | J J’s Ranger | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blame J D | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American Outlaw | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lightning Struck | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Payne | 2.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Circle Back Jack | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Holiday House | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wind of Change (BRZ) | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vale | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hymn | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Secret Legend | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Velociraptor | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gun Runner Charlie | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bon Temps | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Kid Syd | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Affixed | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stomp | 3.50 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dawn At Normandy | 12.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Iron Dome | 10.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rango | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Bayakoa S.) – Bayakoa S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Loved | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Corningstone | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Free Like a Girl | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Bout Hilary | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Jamie | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bow Draw | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Princess Em Too | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Buriana | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | La Fantastica | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Momentario | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eskenforaraise | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Good Game | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Barbie’s Dream | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frosted Miracle | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Yes Ma’am | 4.50 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kai Kai | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lobby Rendezvous | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.