Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 9, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
R Special 0 0-1
3 3 R Special 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Rasta Girl 12.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Yayi Nikolle 1.60 2.9 5-1
5 5 Lady Luka 4.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Paraiba Blue 12.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 I Am Ev 3.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Twenty Four Mamba 0 0-1
5 5 Spikezone 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 El Grande O 2.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Surveillance 3.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Twenty Four Mamba 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 He’smyhoneybadger 4.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Montebello 0 0-1
3 3 Montebello 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 That’s Money 2.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Persistent Danger 12.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Brew Pub 3.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Horse Be With You 5.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Sin Nombre 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Printrack 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Magnificent Mile 2.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Daufuskie Island 2.50 2.4 4-1
3 3 Master of Arms 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Iridescent 5.00 2.7 5-1
6 98 Commerce Comet 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 She’s Always Rosie 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Artemis Sound 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Be Inspired 3.00 3 6-1
6 6 Dat Dares Right 15.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Dream On Cara 20.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Justheart 6.00 5 9-1
7 7 Short Shift 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Thank You Jon 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Arrebato 3.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 I See You Lookin 2.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Collect From Ike 10.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Badlands Ruler 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Because the Night 12.00 5 9-1
4 4 My Cool Hand Luke 15.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 King Khali 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sue Ellen Mishkin 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 A Maize Zing Dotie 6.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 True Empress 6.00 3 6-1
8 8 Snappin Buttons 4.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Maggy’s Palace 3.50 5.2 10-1
5 5 Nolita 6.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Clover Street 8.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Foxy Cara 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Timia 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Heavenly Light 2.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Higher Force 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Ada May 4.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Helen’s Revenge 3.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Mad for Maddy 12.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Toxic Girl 20.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Furry Fox 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.