Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Well Accustomed | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bet Towinit | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shamay | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Clearly Credo | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gloryland | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dreamy Deal | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Simoneaux Storm | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Cheese Bread | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Baron of the Nile | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Doctor Leo | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dancin With Angels | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Real Action | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Emerald Express | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. B Cause | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bind Faith | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fifteen Love Back | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Blume | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Prince Perfecta | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | It’s a Secret | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Due We Dare | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Louisiana Luca | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Berndt Marshmallow | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Easy Eddie A | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kat’s Soldier | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | The Judge | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Houstons Eagle | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Taurean | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Huey Duey | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ghent | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Man Flintstone | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Black Candy | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mystery Man | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heritage Park | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sammy Danseur Jr. | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sunset War | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bad Brad | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fern Spirit | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Sawyer | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mo Vista | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Custom V K W | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sigarra | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pasila | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Irons | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Coco Bella Blue | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chilean Wind | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chief Express | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stick Shift | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scallywag | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Velocidad | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Texas Adopter | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hudson’s Day | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Calle Diamante | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hercules N Love | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jamian | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Muffin Nuts | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Affirm Chief | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chaosmos | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hostile Afleet | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Monitor Mills | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fast Verdict | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Taken Back | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tappin Fora Dance | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Applewood | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Coastal Defense | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mint | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Double Gem | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moni Design | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oak Hill Seniorita | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tarkington Girl | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Costa Lady | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Discreet Deal | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Time to Close | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Glorious Gears | 3.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charming Kat | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Seismic Spirit (IRE) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Special Dispatch | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crushed It | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pegaso | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dustin the Diamond | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Jostar | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Salt Spray (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | B D Primary Ours | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Knight’s Gold | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rip Rules | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Middleofthefairway | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Forest Beast | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Impressive Bidder | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Not Likely | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Candy Boy | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Look West | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Temporory High | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Serrano’s Warrior | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.