Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flag Flyer | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | T Kraft | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Georgia Magic | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hawkstone | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ican | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Run of the House | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giant’s Audible | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Rodeo Star | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Giant’s Audible | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dear John | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Laguardia | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Divorced of Course | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ah Ca Ira | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Honorary Degree | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Charging Aero | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Collected Special | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Honorary Degree | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gun Maestro | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dads Good Runner | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Powerfully Built | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Must Be Love | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Clubhouse | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palace Boss | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 8 | 8 | Schlomo | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ferris Muler | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Leo’s Reward | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vitalize | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Van Vollenhoven | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Palace Boss | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twirling Vine | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ridolfi | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Findaname | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wine Responsibly | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Ice Road | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ice Time | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wine Responsibly | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brooklyn Strong | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Indianquest | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Active Duty | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Masterwork | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Steady Progress | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Winter’s Ghost | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Akinmusire | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arcadian | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I’m Solo N in Love | 15.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Mitole | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brave Bear | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Millibar | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | McAfee | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Saratoga Warrior | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Aggelos the Great | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Acoustic Ave | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Caldo Candy | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Factually Correct | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forward Move | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Icy Flavor | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | He’s Got It | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mariachi | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Rock Star Rebel | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Run With Honor | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Free Dance | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Nine N Four | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | E Z Bourbon | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Celtic Prince | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rum Cay | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | King Solomon | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Intellectual | 2.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Twohonestmischief | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 9 | Total Silence | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.