Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 14, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Father Mark 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Apriority Avenger 2.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Nervy 4.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Apriority Rocket 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Harpes Hill 12.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 A’debris 12.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Byathread 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Bigfoot Sighting 0 0-1
1 1 Bigfoot Sighting 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Royal Coach 2.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Deftly Done 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Cajun Swagger 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Holden Michael 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Wedding Gift 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 All Rizz 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
On Your Mark 0 0-1
9 9 Mesa Spirit 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Atras 10.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Appeal Denied 5.00 3 6-1
8 8 On Your Mark 5.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Prince Lancelot (GB) 3.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Just Say When 12.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 We Miss Arlington 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Shut Up Man 12.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Saint Charles 12.00 8.3 16-1
11 11 Channel Won 2.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Voodoo Zip 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Oncoming Train 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Musical Spell 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Philo Beddoe 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 X J Rascal (IRE) 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pink Lady Lu Sha 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Miss Distinctive 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Simona’s Choice 10.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Rock Star Doctor 3.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Dre Me Less 4.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Lily’s Creed 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Roll Gypsy Roll 10.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Flowersforshantell 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Righthere Rightnow 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Man On Attack 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Treaty 8.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Sabi 3.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Runnin Munnin 10.00 4 8-1
10 10 The Paddock Pastor 10.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Sendero 15.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Pico d’Oro 15.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Sir Pistolero 12.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Cascade Cruiser 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Legitimate Target (GB) 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Elodine 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 My Southern Girl 4.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Gin Run 4.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Tale of Chianti 20.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Cruzin Van Nuys 4.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Hide the Bride 5.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Critical Velocity 20.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Acceleratedvictory 30.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Shehasanattitude 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Star Star Star 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Cunimbus 5.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Star Rock Star 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Emily’s Boy 5.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Southscape 10.00 4 8-1
10 10 Silent Breeze 10.00 5 9-1
9 9 Toni’s Inferno 10.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Misterholyroller 6.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Tensas Camp Road 12.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Gem of a Storm 15.00 7.5 14-1
12 12 Reach for the Aces 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Aries Honor 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Carthage Cajun 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Summer in Aiken 15.00 2 4-1
7 7 Veracruzin 5.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Cookn Wit Catman 4.50 3.8 7-1
9 9 El Perfecto 6.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Regimental 5.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Impeccability 5.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Hexcel 5.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Star Ready 20.00 9.8 18-1
5 5 Stone Alliance 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.