Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miss World Peace | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Avalon Girl | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Love Me a Sunset | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midway Vow | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Karson Kay | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Aunt Alex | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Favorite Girl | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A Dollar a Day | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fightertown | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Antigravity | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Channel | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cashmeup | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Icarus | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chaos Reigns | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Indy Charge | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ricky Bobby | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Air Castle | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Georgia On E’smind | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Medicine Show | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Patient Emilie | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Daretocatchlove | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Honduras Passion | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Polska Sue | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Paint Rock Surpriz | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Reecho | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mazarn | 5.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Myspittinimage | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Illy Simz | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| Polska Sue | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stuck N Snow | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Debater | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mr Works | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Street Commander | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hess | 1.60 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Doublecheck | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reveille Valley | 3.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Outlaw Run | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Storm Strategy | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Wicked Prince | 15.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Native Moonshine | 50.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Cougar | 30.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fetchs Brahm | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Thorn Crown | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Up On the Edge | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Chiquita Reina | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Texas Hottie | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Accelerating Babe | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 8 | End of Innocence | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 7 | New Woman | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Ready for Wine | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Chipotle Pepper | 3.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 4 | No Pay No Hay | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 11 | Charlina | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Feathers Road | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Good Like Magic | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Allo Enry | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Khozy My Boy | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Macho Ronnie | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Out Run’m | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Man On the Moon | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Go Cats | 3.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Deflater | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nepal Up | 6.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vanisky | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Huge Bigly | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Auto Glide | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shot of Courage | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | What’s Up Doc | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Truculent | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tornado Road | 30.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dynamis | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Empire Builder | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Keen Cat | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maximus Magic | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mandolin Wind | 6.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lured Away | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sprint Out Pass | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sole Lute | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | La Houligan | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Predecessor | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fountain Lake | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tom Cat Tuesday | 2.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Surfin’ M | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tough Customer | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Razorcat | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Risk Factor | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sir Wellington | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ryvit | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Durante | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Run Classic | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chasing Time | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Glengarry | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | No Coincidences | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arr Piratetreasure | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Q’s Your Mama | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sthenic | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Street Painter | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wildwood Queen | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cashmere Baby | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | One Way Or Another | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fly Like the Wind | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ms Carroll County | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Timbavati | 3.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magnolia Mae | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Caliente Star | 20.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stephanie Starfish | 6.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.