Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | War to Remember | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unbreakable Trust | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Toughness | 0.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grinnell | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | General Jackson | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Clampett | 0.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Duran | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Leyas Candy | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trusty Rusty | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dark Marcus | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ace Ace Baby | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Champagne Camie | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiger Queen | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ace Ace Baby | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rose of Jericho | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Shushala | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just Is | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Open Soul Autism | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Madame Secretary | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lolo Le Plume | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Preem | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wren | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beehavin | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Makenna | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Union Coach | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honorable Gal | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Velocious | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Glaze | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chamaville | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ready to Gig | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ara | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eyelight | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rank | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mellencamp | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baeza | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Varney | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flyin Private | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Westwood | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mining District | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pass the Baton | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spiritual Advisor | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clouseau | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kerry Gold | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mother’s Prayer | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nauvoo | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bronko Nagurski | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ridegold | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Darlin Tami | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss McKinzie | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stubborn | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kapalua Ride | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jolie Candy | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Justice | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dad’s Bad Bunny | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | A Fleet Ride | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Sister Lilly | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.