Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 15, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Awesome Roberta 6.00 1 2-1
6 7 Bubbe Dearest 3.50 1.5 3-1
5 4 Tale of the Tail 1.80 2.7 5-1
1A 6 Wildcat Annie 3.00 2.7 5-1
7 8 Global Charmer 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 3 Eddie Marie 12.00 5.7 11-1
1 5 Phonecalltoheaven 3.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Sweet Lilac 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 What’s Up Bro 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Radio Red 1.60 1.1 2-1
7 7 Tivy 8.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Paxsational 10.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Antonio of Venice 6.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Ignite the Light 4.50 5.2 10-1
2 2 Exploration 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Say Florida Sandy S.) – Say Florida Sandy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Doc Sullivan 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Mama’s Gold 1.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Locke and Key 4.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Whittington Park 12.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Shipsational 15.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Sheriff Bianco 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Trade Secret 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Spiritual Lady 6.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Maggie T 5.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Vegas Weekend 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 R Funny Bizness 10.00 5 10-1
4 4 Play Good Pay Good 4.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Shezanarcticqueen 10.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Waitwaitdonttellme 15.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Jackie the Joker 5.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Debate 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Allure of Money 4.50 2.4 5-1
9 9 Commandperformance 8.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Strong Light 4.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Centavo 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Prince of Joy 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Wild Banker 12.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Co Conspirator 20.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Rerally 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 9 Accidental Bid 1.00 1 2-1
9 10 Cattani 4.50 1.4 3-1
2 1 Stormy’s Dreaming 8.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Shore Time 15.00 2.2 4-1
1A 8 Solo Flight 3.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Sol the Frank 30.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Swept 50.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Magic Beach 10.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Brave Buck 15.00 SCRATCH
1 3 Drive Thru 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Grammy Girl 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Splashy 6.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Patty Van Twinkle 3.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 The Big Calhouna 4.00 4 7-1
5 5 Roman Goddess 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Thirteen Red Flags 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Looks First 15.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Despo’s Dream 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Willintoriskitall 0 0-1
1A 5 Cumberland Blues 1.60 1 2-1
3 2 Willintoriskitall 10.00 1.9 3-1
2 1 He Has It All 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 6 Saint Gaudens 3.00 3.9 7-1
9 10 Provision 15.00 4.6 9-1
6 7 Senegal 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 9 Baron of Sealand 6.00 5.1 10-1
7 8 Boss Three O Two 8.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Landauer 30.00 7.5 14-1
1 3 Liberty Central 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Wajda 1.00 1 2-1
2 2 Shakin the Belle 8.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Dialbolico 6.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Dangerous Driver 4.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Prairie Dunes 12.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Flying in Style 15.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Lcgolucky 30.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Change Your Name 15.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Dancinginthepark 12.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.