Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Goodfella (IRE) | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Over the Ocean | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Resemblance | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bound to Succeed | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nobel Gary | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Supreme Coast | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Running Spartan | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Warrens World | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nameless | 0.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cooperklimt | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lord Wimborne (IRE) | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mount Pelliar | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lookout Point | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mischief’s Thirsty | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stellar Cap | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uffda | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Strange Addiction | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Isabel Ludlow | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Toulouse Detrac | 1.80 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beau Soleil | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sapadilla | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| It’s a Factor | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | It’s a Factor | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dynodave | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Check’s On the Way | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Earned Not Given | 0.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grey Power | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Diamante Negro | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Grey Area | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | James J. Braddock | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | El Ondeado | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Tom | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Distant Fleet | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Johnny Whispers | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Falcon Wings | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Pio Nono | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Western Freedom | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Annie’s Joy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chasingserendipity | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elegant Sway | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Mama Sue | 1.80 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiznow Mama | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dendera | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zeyaraat | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Glacier Rim | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Palos Verdes S.) – Palos Verdes S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roll On Big Joe | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Anarchist | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Roll On Big Joe | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bartholdy | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | For All Mankind | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mbagnick (CHI) | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big City Lights | 0.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kitty Marren | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jungle Peace (IRE) | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paarl | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Marula | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | McKechnie | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Entressa | 2.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Favor to You | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lilliput | 5.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cloudy Women | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Comeback Girl | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonesome Stew | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Lonesome Stew | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Afternoon Nap | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tom Seaver | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Duty First | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gypsy Tears | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Final Storm | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clever Clover | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mio Bambino | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hothead | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Horizon Wildcat | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | P Town Prancer | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Riding By | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Willisau | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pecks Lane | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Silver I Am | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Little Ditty | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gemini Buzz | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bro Bro | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Curlin Command | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Owl | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.