Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | The Monopoly Man | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prince of Truth | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silo Ridge | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Light the Way | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Face the Facts | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aelfgar | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Revivalism | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Runamor | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Romeo Void | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cada Dia Mejor | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Premier Cru | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chasing Colton | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fines Creek | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Monomoy Beach | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Daytona Moonshine | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dear Chairman | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miles and Miles | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Asset Management | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magni | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Dragon | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Powered by Coal | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dominican Pirate | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | She’s Cool | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beira | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blenheim Baby | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dat Dares Right | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | To Be Loved by You | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Street View | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Montauk Mystique | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Focus Pocus | 2.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Chelsea Wall | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | April Antics | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Halo City | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Obstinate | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Find Your Joy | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Raw Power | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Jolly Miss Jill | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Sister Linda | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Condiment Girl | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | Gun It | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Runnin’ Ray | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Margin of Air | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Magnolia Midnight | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Chelonian | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Seeking Unity | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Mandatory | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 4 | O’Conner Sunset | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Costa Terra | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Magical Ways | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 9 | Golden Degree | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Bells Beach | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Next On Stage | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 1 | Rising Inflation | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2B | 7 | Call Her Bluff | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Dazzy | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 6 | Luna Moth | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Save Us Melania | 2.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 2 | Saucy Six | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ice Cream Boat | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Crossing | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Melancia | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Game Like Reyana | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spun Size | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maxaluna | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Improbable Friend | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Contract Law | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Persuasive | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.