Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 16, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Blind Eye 0 0-1
4 4 Bee a Sky Beam 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Blind Eye 6.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Ifeelbadforyouson 3.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Longworth 20.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Uncle Grey 20.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Air Speed 20.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Gillis Falls 30.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Reserve Judgement 15.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Lucky Prince 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Dr Kringle 0 0-1
4 4 Mad Banker 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Joe the Jet 4.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Dr Kringle 1.40 1.5 3-1
2 2 Financial District 12.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Restoring Order 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Saisir Le Jour 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tam Char 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Loving Cup 2.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 At First Sight 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 R Averie Lynn 4.00 4 8-1
3 3 Hipnotizada 15.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Forgotten Gift 6.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Sapphire Beauty 10.00 7 13-1
2 2 Always Forward 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Splendor Beauty 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Amity Road 4.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Tops the Chart 8.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Margie’s Fun Son 12.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Fan Club 10.00 3 6-1
7 7 Three Captains 2.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 In the Dance 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Little Bit Risky 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Nola Boss 3.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Top Blood 4.00 3 6-1
8 8 Schrader 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Bold Diversion 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Set for Life 15.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Steel Vengeance 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Who Says So 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lift the Lid 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Anotherhope 5.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Sabra’s Song 3.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Rylnnslookinglucky 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Seven’s Magic 12.00 5 10-1
7 7 Arise My Love 15.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Set Ablaze 6.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Moon Baby 20.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 Country Alliance 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Stop the Cap 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Northern Glow 8.00 1.4 3-1
10 10 Lovely Charm 4.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Mavilus 8.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Majestic Creed 8.00 3 6-1
2 2 Western Lane 20.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Regaled 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Too Many Kisses 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Don’t Tell Kelly 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Call Another Play 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Bound by Destiny 0 0-1
Pinotslilgirl 0 0-1
7 7 Pinotslilgirl 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Photo Finish 6.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Anonymously 1.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Principia 4.50 2 4-1
3 3 Bound by Destiny 10.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Destined to Dance 50.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Always Laughing 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.