Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Monday, February 17, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Open Flame 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Moorea Time 15.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Actin’ Up 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Chapter and Verse 2.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Boss On the Run 15.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Our Special Gift 8.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 She’s a Reader 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Zettie 30.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Cosmic Chic 12.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Collada 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hayes Strike 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Vittorio 2.00 2 4-1
9 9 J. P. Race 3.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Nullarbor 10.00 3 6-1
3 3 Unstable Prince 5.00 4 7-1
4 4 Lions Not Sheep 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Boogie Bode 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 El Rey Dorado 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Wind of Change (BRZ) 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Wowsers 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 Air Force Thunder 12.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Kentucky Starlet 3.00 2 4-1
6 6 What’s Her Number 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 H M Legacy 6.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Flat Stormin 5.00 4 8-1
8 8 Coldasice 20.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Taker Back 20.00 5 9-1
2 2 Union Dame 20.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Nandina 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Quarrymen 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Air It Out 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Lend It Tewmey 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Holus Bolus 15.00 4 8-1
8 8 It’ll Do 12.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Ceepeegee 10.00 6.6 13-1
3 3 More Than Five 3.50 7.2 14-1
10 10 Gold Member 20.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Improbable First 30.00 9 17-1
9 9 Konteekee 5.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Espionage 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Martini Blu 4.50 4 7-1
6 6 Vulcan 3.50 4.3 8-1
8 8 Algebra 12.00 4.9 9-1
13 13 Dual Monarchy 12.00 5 9-1
2 2 Permafrost 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Luv to Win 15.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Western Command 10.00 6.1 12-1
12 12 Last Diamond 30.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Tee Burns 30.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 The Queens Jules 6.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Gold Baron 50.00 11.5 22-1
4 4 Powerful 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Ravin’s Town 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Calamity 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Plaisir d’Amour 3.50 1.9 3-1
1 1 Lil Breezzy 4.50 3.4 6-1
12 12 Vegas Condo 3.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Songmaker 15.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Trading Secrets 8.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Ensorcell 20.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Maddienlizzyshonor 20.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Rush to Glory 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Rock Harbor 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Zen Dreams 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Vino Tiempo 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Silver Heist 15.00 1 2-1
4 4 Gewurztraminer 3.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Mena 8.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Talklessworkmore 5.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Mumayaz 4.00 4.7 9-1
12 12 Pike Place 10.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Bourbon’s Fault 20.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Dance Some Mo 4.50 5.9 11-1
2 2 Happy Strike 30.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Beyond Best 12.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Juilliard 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Millers Rite 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Daily Grind 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Dynamis 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Higher Standard 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Jackman 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Samurai Prince 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Friar Laurence 2.50 4.9 9-1
6 6 Alpine Thunder 6.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Lundberg 15.00 6 11-1
7 7 Sinner’s Sin 8.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Born Flawless 15.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Refuah 10.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Chipofftheoldblock 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Ozark S.) – Ozark S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hola Joey 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Innova 1.80 3.1 6-1
6 6 Wildncrazynight 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 I Got Game 2.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Farley Hall 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Waco 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Catamount 15.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 El Dandi 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Piquant 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Call Sadie 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Plinko Chip 4.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Toodle Loo 15.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Aloha Baby 12.00 2.6 5-1
12 12 Aunt Dixie 12.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Paris Accord 5.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Pops Reward 12.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Memory Maker 8.00 7 13-1
7 7 My Sweet Angel 15.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 Doubledaddy Issues 6.00 9.8 19-1
4 4 Closdatgate 30.00 10.1 19-1
11 11 Spicy Noodles 30.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.