Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Open Flame |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Moorea Time |
15.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Actin’ Up |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Chapter and Verse |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Boss On the Run |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Our Special Gift |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
She’s a Reader |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Zettie |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cosmic Chic |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Collada |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Hayes Strike |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Vittorio |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
J. P. Race |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Nullarbor |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Unstable Prince |
5.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lions Not Sheep |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Boogie Bode |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
El Rey Dorado |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Wind of Change (BRZ) |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Wowsers |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Air Force Thunder |
12.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kentucky Starlet |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
What’s Her Number |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
H M Legacy |
6.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Flat Stormin |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Coldasice |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Taker Back |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Union Dame |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Nandina |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Quarrymen |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Air It Out |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lend It Tewmey |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Holus Bolus |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
It’ll Do |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ceepeegee |
10.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
More Than Five |
3.50 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Gold Member |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Improbable First |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
9 |
9 |
Konteekee |
5.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Espionage |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Martini Blu |
4.50 |
4 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Vulcan |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Algebra |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
13 |
13 |
Dual Monarchy |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Permafrost |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Luv to Win |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Western Command |
10.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
12 |
12 |
Last Diamond |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Tee Burns |
30.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
The Queens Jules |
6.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gold Baron |
50.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
4 |
4 |
Powerful |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Ravin’s Town |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Calamity |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Plaisir d’Amour |
3.50 |
1.9 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lil Breezzy |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
12 |
12 |
Vegas Condo |
3.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Songmaker |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Trading Secrets |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ensorcell |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Maddienlizzyshonor |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rush to Glory |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Rock Harbor |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Zen Dreams |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Vino Tiempo |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Silver Heist |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gewurztraminer |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mena |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Talklessworkmore |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mumayaz |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
12 |
12 |
Pike Place |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bourbon’s Fault |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dance Some Mo |
4.50 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Happy Strike |
30.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Beyond Best |
12.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Juilliard |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Millers Rite |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Daily Grind |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Dynamis |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Higher Standard |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jackman |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Samurai Prince |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Friar Laurence |
2.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Alpine Thunder |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lundberg |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sinner’s Sin |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Born Flawless |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Refuah |
10.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Chipofftheoldblock |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Ozark S.) – Ozark S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Hola Joey |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Innova |
1.80 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wildncrazynight |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
I Got Game |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Farley Hall |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Waco |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Catamount |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
El Dandi |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Piquant |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Call Sadie |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Plinko Chip |
4.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Toodle Loo |
15.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Aloha Baby |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
12 |
12 |
Aunt Dixie |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Paris Accord |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Pops Reward |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Memory Maker |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
My Sweet Angel |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
9 |
9 |
Doubledaddy Issues |
6.00 |
9.8 |
19-1 |
4 |
4 |
Closdatgate |
30.00 |
10.1 |
19-1 |
11 |
11 |
Spicy Noodles |
30.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.