Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Unrivaled Hero |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tariff |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Smiling Tizzy |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Newlands |
15.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Missile Cruiser |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Spun Not Stirred |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
West Is West |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Lone Scout |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fireman Dan |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mongolian Max |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Saltwater Cowboy |
1.60 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Always On Cay |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Coastal Cowgirl |
|
0 |
0-1 |
3 |
3 |
Coastal Cowgirl |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Affair |
1.80 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tom’s Star |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Spinning |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sassy Mischief |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Maxwell St Blues |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Prime and Ready |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Spotted Haze |
1.80 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Liquid Spirit |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gracie’s Big Day |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Kathryn Rose |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
A Kitten for Sue |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Smoocherro |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Princess Hekawi |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Poker Alice |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Gray Frost |
1.40 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hollywood Mistress |
4.50 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Northern Rose |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bet the Chalk |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Zafferana |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
C Her Beauty |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Rexford |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Player B |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Invincible |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Schwarzmeier |
4.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Caribbean King |
4.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kimmer |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Lucky Lad |
15.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tizz a Good Thing |
5.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Azure Star (IRE) |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bobby’s Alibi |
3.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Bucket List |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Runnin Ute |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Reef City |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pour On the Cole |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dr. Flash Dancer |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Our Expectation |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Twilight Moon |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Effective Gig |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
King of Dragons |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cali Cat |
2.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Frank Bullitt |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Got’m Cot’m |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
The Shillelagh |
20.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Mr. Machupicchu |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Binging |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Silverado Storm |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Nijinsky Halo |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Three Georges |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
No Poking Around |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Riverside Rose |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Care for Autism |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Robin’s Tough Love |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Autism Inspiration |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rythem Girl |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Misty Dancer |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Full Moon Grazen |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sensational Z Z |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Sabertooth |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Glass of Jameson |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Benny’s Puzzle |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Got Soul |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Santa Barbarian |
20.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fix It Quick |
6.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Master Jacques |
30.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Shapoval |
3.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sogno Di Vino |
15.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
11 |
11 |
Smoothwhskygoindwn |
20.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
1 |
1 |
Giant Luther |
12.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
14 |
14 |
Speed of Elon |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Miles Finch |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Gray Thunder |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.