Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Monday, February 17, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Unrivaled Hero 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Tariff 3.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Smiling Tizzy 2.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Newlands 15.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Missile Cruiser 10.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Spun Not Stirred 4.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 West Is West 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lone Scout 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Fireman Dan 4.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Mongolian Max 3.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Saltwater Cowboy 1.60 4.5 9-1
4 4 Always On Cay 10.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Coastal Cowgirl 0 0-1
3 3 Coastal Cowgirl 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Affair 1.80 2.7 5-1
5 5 Tom’s Star 15.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Spinning 6.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Sassy Mischief 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Maxwell St Blues 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Prime and Ready 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Spotted Haze 1.80 2.4 5-1
4 4 Liquid Spirit 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Gracie’s Big Day 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 My Kathryn Rose 12.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 A Kitten for Sue 20.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Smoocherro 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Princess Hekawi 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Poker Alice 5.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Gray Frost 1.40 3.7 7-1
2 2 Hollywood Mistress 4.50 4.5 8-1
7 7 Northern Rose 15.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Bet the Chalk 12.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Zafferana 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 C Her Beauty 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Rexford 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Player B 3.50 1.3 2-1
7 7 Invincible 6.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Schwarzmeier 4.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Caribbean King 4.50 4.5 9-1
4 4 Kimmer 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Lucky Lad 15.00 7.7 14-1
5 5 Tizz a Good Thing 5.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Azure Star (IRE) 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 Bobby’s Alibi 3.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 My Bucket List 4.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Runnin Ute 2.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Reef City 12.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Pour On the Cole 15.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Dr. Flash Dancer 10.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Our Expectation 6.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Twilight Moon 20.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Effective Gig 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 King of Dragons 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Cali Cat 2.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Frank Bullitt 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Got’m Cot’m 5.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 The Shillelagh 20.00 4.5 8-1
11 11 Mr. Machupicchu 10.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Binging 12.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Silverado Storm 15.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Nijinsky Halo 20.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Three Georges 20.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 No Poking Around 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Riverside Rose 15.00 1 2-1
2 2 Care for Autism 3.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Robin’s Tough Love 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Autism Inspiration 3.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Rythem Girl 20.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Misty Dancer 20.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Full Moon Grazen 4.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Sensational Z Z 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sabertooth 1.80 1 2-1
10 10 Glass of Jameson 12.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Benny’s Puzzle 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Got Soul 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Santa Barbarian 20.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Fix It Quick 6.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Master Jacques 30.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Shapoval 3.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Sogno Di Vino 15.00 8.6 16-1
11 11 Smoothwhskygoindwn 20.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Giant Luther 12.00 9.1 17-1
14 14 Speed of Elon 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Miles Finch 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Gray Thunder 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.