Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Au Some Warrior | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mine Seeker | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just Cheesy | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Airman Trevor | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El Medianoche | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sunny Magic | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Smallschool Wonder | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Rob Roy | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jadon’s Honor | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | McKirgan | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wizard Serrat | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sailor’s Return | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hotpot | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Petulant Delight | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Title Shot | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eddiemush | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Angry Man | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Magical Road | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nimmo | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rossington | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Builder Jak | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hundred Proof | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mad Maxey | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mucho Magnifico | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Makemydaycharlie | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fully Committed | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Evasive Moves | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Leigh’s Last Hero | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unaffected | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Viral Video | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Matzoball Muhammet | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bottles | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Dosser | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charlyisinthehood | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chilling Time | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lotta Charlie | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lovemeakaren | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moonchill | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bullet Breeze | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Utility | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Strasse | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Watch Hill | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | E T’s Evasive Moon | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Checking Boxes | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heavy Timber | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pontiac | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Badbadbobby | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Road Call | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Shady Nights | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Smarty’s Love | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dadoo | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Anna Bella | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Edge of the Blade | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brilliant Disguise | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Captain Whiner | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vague | 10.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flaming Eyes | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Iconic Legacy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Normandy Hero | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gun Collector | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dreaming of Gerry | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speedy Bolt | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Capital Conquest | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Golden Candy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magicnthemoonlight | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Party At Sam’s | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Get Set | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prince of Rain | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Young Squire | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tuff Constitution | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Berks | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pit Boss | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Artistic Reason | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Makabim | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Doctor Doom | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | We Be There | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cobble Road | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Trending Up | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Mucho Macho Eddie | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saint Marco | 15.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Teewinot Pass | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Long Gray Line | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.