Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bobo Liver | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucchesi | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hero’s Spirit | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vini Vidi Vici | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I Can Do Magic | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spinning Heart | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Love | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Exclusive Dancer | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Onlygodcanjudgeme | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Private Cabana | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Carnaby | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Captain | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Shot Vegas | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Doubt Declan | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alphadini | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fast N Sweet | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coach Knight | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Aves Makin’ Waves | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stouthearted | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bad Advice | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Splitting Stones | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Voy Y Vengo | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lord Seabee | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Leftover Sushi | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Job’s Not Finished | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Town Annie | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amalfi Lady | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Jo Jo | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bella Maria | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jayce and Liam | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Robo | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sunny Side Up | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sister Eve | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flag Song Flyin | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | End of the Rainbow | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La Sierva C | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Nuedorf | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Brown Shoes | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Almond Cider | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Truth and Honesty | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Devolution | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mizzen Man | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pressing Concern | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Expect to Be Ready | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rumint | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Catti La Belle | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heart Light | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Party Monster | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | R Tenderoni | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sirenetta | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gormley Girl | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Carousel Queen | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Justified | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gingersayschill | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | West Side Diva | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dropsugar | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gruene Hall | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Real Talk | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Catty’s Uncle | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | McCrakens Ghost | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Enforcer | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Hustle | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | B B Bad | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aztec | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rumaway | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Musical Heart | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jebologist | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Wildcat | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lord Winsalot | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crypt | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Geebert | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | We Ready | 4.50 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Shanghai Superfly | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Star Weaver | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cousin Andrew | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Give It a Go | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.