Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shop Lifting | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wimberly | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shirl’s Delight | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mutually Exclusive | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wake Up Lauren | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Floge | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Adeleke | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pistol Liz Ablazen | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Goldcrest | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Floge | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whistler’s Style | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Willful Desire | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | America’s Honor | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nico’s Derby Run | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Broderick | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smokey Places | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Laird of Magnolia | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | King’s Spirit | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big Rich | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ollie Can Dance | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brown Don’t Stop | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Solo Empire | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Neptune Beach | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | D Day Sky | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Taparino | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Zeebear | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pineapple Man | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aleah Aleah | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Flight | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whenlovetakesover | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I See You Lookin | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | King Moonracer | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dot’s Dollar | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Abadin | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Amundson | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dot’s Dollar | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mister J T | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tetsu | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Courageoous Oh La | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Stewie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Victory Way | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scoot Daddy | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Toxic Gray | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crazy Mason | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spun and Won | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dangerous Ride | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Total Silence | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Grand Cash | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Have a Cigar | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Recurring Revenue | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiote | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alzero | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo for the King | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | State Park | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kismeholdmethrlme | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | First Pitch | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.