Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 21, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Moion 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Saberfight 3.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Destiny’s Grace 10.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Tarkington Girl 12.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 La Deal 2.50 4.2 8-1
10 10 Hopeshecanrun 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Customerunhappy 4.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Nownowdancer 6.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Flying I 20.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Mydealoftheday 15.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Long Shot Louise 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lady Cheryl’s Song 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Ocean Jet 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Lagunera 5.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 So Jordan 8.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Who’s Madie 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Kip the Distance 5.00 3 6-1
3 3 Go Ishla 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 My First Deal 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Ayden’s Edge 20.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Real Thrill 4.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Hold My Hat 2.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 My Special Star 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Tommie’s True 12.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Cool Guitar 5.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Sailor de Aces 8.00 7.7 15-1
10 10 Pistol Ridge Kid 20.00 7.7 15-1
11 11 Deelitesandimsum 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Yankeestrolgy 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Bella’s Boss 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sharp Charlie 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Speightful One 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Maximus Freedom 12.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Guitar Doctor 5.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Alterana 10.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Bind Faith 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Prado’s Priority 2.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Matzoh Ball 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Laoban’s Carat 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Desired Fantasies 20.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Sheer Luck 6.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Whodoyoulikehere 15.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Laryslittleracer 3.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 She’s Wild Again 12.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Meeting Jenny 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Back Nine 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Imperial Assault 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Mopac Traffic 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Sayyoulovemebaby 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Acadiana 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Be Bo 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Czar’s Ballerina 4.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 The Rage of Art 20.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Eli’s Girl 8.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Gee Gee 10.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Black Ace 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Bold Exaggeration 4.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Dr Stricklands Ace 6.00 4.3 8-1
12 12 Blueberry Eyes 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Jess’s Rainbow 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Berlaine 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Legal Deceiver 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Empire Kid 10.00 1 2-1
11 11 Hostile Afleet 6.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Half Full 2.50 3 6-1
7 7 Goldenlute 15.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Oceola 5.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Slither 12.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Bobby Boy 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Whatta Life 6.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Donna’s Court 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Adios Carlos 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Skippa 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Leucadia 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Dylan’s Dream 5.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Merrily Rush 8.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Holiday Double 12.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 She’s Extra 4.50 4.4 8-1
10 10 Awesome Becca 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Beat the Double 6.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Sparkle City 20.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Mda Senorita Run 15.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Surrey 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Gypsy Jackpot 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 My Idea 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Overcast 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Good N Sassy 10.00 1.3 2-1
9 9 Congratulera 5.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Get Ready Gal 2.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Lord Harmony 3.50 1.9 4-1
8 8 Bayou Chick 10.00 4 8-1
1 1 Prettywell Stacked 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Double Cute 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 La Palabra 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Texoma 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Cat County 3.50 3.6 7-1
8 8 Island Cabana 4.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Scallywag 8.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 C F Cantgoforthat 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Zestiny 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Beaudean 10.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Hay Lover Boy 15.00 8.9 17-1
10 10 Wicked Punches 12.00 9.7 18-1
3 3 Kah Nigh 20.00 9.7 18-1
6 6 Baby Zong 6.00 10 19-1
9 9 Embrace My Heart 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.