Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 21, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Wholeheartedly 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Knock’em Out Jerry 4.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Kinsman Redeemer 2.50 2.4 5-1
7 7 Ragnow 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Tamashi 5.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 C F Cantgoforthat 12.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Metronome 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Call My Banker 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Notion 4.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Twirling Roses 6.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Global Pride 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Oncoming Train 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Cryptozonic 10.00 4 8-1
4 4 Scooteranddabigman 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Peso in My Pocket 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ash Wednesday 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Star Anise 4.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 Daring Hope 6.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Mischief Lily 5.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Wayzata 6.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Kazillion 12.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Promdatebonnie 12.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Trust Fund Baby 20.00 8.2 15-1
2 2 Cheval B 5.00 8.7 16-1
4 4 Lynna 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Honor His Half 12.00 1 2-1
4 4 Aspen Link 10.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Cairo Charm 12.00 2 4-1
6 6 Runtolive 4.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Copper Crush 8.00 2.4 4-1
11 11 Mia Antonia 8.00 3 6-1
10 10 Radiant Rebel 4.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Mika Ella Pika 8.00 4 8-1
8 8 Sassy Spry 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Wannawholelottaluv 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Dreamy Deal 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Prowling Tiger 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 Optimus Kat 3.00 1.1 2-1
10 10 Gentle Soul 2.50 1.2 2-1
4 4 Sivako 8.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Battle Scars 5.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 South Side 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Just Jimmy 20.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Clarestown 20.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Rowdy Jess 50.00 9.2 17-1
2 2 Bourbon Life 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Voila Magic 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Classic Time 6.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Hesper 5.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Hawija 3.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Distinctly Golden 5.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Pair of Socks 4.50 3 6-1
4 4 Gabbys Bling 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 El Magnifico 4.00 1 2-1
10 10 Tickled Quist 8.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 King Rosso 6.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Initialize 4.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Elko County 8.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 English Chunnel 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Rampagius 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Hard Par 12.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Finn McSorley 10.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Seaville 30.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 The Commack Kid 12.00 8.1 15-1
12 12 Pretty Capable 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Global Quote 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bobby Two Shot’s 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Righteous Freedom 3.50 1.1 2-1
8 8 Maximum Grace 4.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Lost My Bag 5.00 2 4-1
11 11 Josan 30.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Its Wild Again 12.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Razz 20.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Colt’s Brim 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Sophie’s Painter 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Rebind 20.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Puppeteer 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.