Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Furious George | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Tetched | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fast Talkin Man | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zio Lino | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Severn Run | 1.80 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Real Talented | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Furious George | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Where’s My Chew | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Maliblue | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scrappy T Lee | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Medagooch | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Square Slice | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rapidity | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twice Gold | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thedingoateyobaby | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Maximo Madness | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Lucia | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lilly Lightning | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Voodoo Priestess | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Looking for Water | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Determined Blue | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tina Tina Tina | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ready for Magic | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Passage East | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chattolanee Spring | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wikolia Lady | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Late Nite Call | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Birdiejuice | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brand New Dance | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | The Judge and Jury | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | B West | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shape Note | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Warlock | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | He’s Orientate | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mister Agent | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whiskey and You | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magic Spin | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Green Eyed Monster | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Can Do | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ade | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Esroh | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rapido Rosa | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gaga’s Hamsome | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | First Pearl | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Itsamonstamash | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vicountess | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Dissolute | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mor Mor Mor | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vicountess | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Graceful Rose | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Feelin So Lucky | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dwelling Legacy | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kilo Road | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic Michael | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 1 | Secret Zipper | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Your Analysis | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Little Lance | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Magic Michael | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Crossland | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Curlin’s Malibu | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Just Call Ray | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Storm Creed | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rascallion | 0.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Autumn in Vermont | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aunt Margaret | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cundi | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Third Tuesday | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tia Mayin | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.