Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Chun Money | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Levee Was Dry | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Good News Rocket | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | World Fair | 2.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Max Mischief | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arjun for Karz | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heckamighty | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tactical Man | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Paint Baller | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spielman | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Handsome Herb | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Simovic | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz My Hero | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Walstib | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nyquist Frequency | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trusted Image | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jinxzi | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Changing Times | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Peace Dog | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Choctaw Zip | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blessed Vision | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Macho Ronnie | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | You Vee Cee | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Colonel Barton | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dicey Wager | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I’m an Oak | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miri a Coincidence | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Reef’s Destiny | 12.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cooler King | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Wampus Kitten | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sparkly | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Day | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Solid Silver | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chica Arma | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Kinda Trouble | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Spin the Breeze | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Twas Lola | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Be My Huckleberry | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Babe in the Woods | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Riley | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big Bourbon River | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Museum Quality | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Preacher’s Kid | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gentle Ben | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Austin’s Map | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Penrod | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Safe Bet | 2.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rerun | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Heartaches | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Run Deano Run | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shot At Pure Peace | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Xyngin Spitfire | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spirit Rules | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scrupulous | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Keepsake | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Q’s Your Mama | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chojo | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | What’s to Do | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Mother Mary | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Not a Joke | 3.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lottery Ticket | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zen Dreams | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Viveca | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Shot | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pink Ruby | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cat Pays the Toll | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | St. Albans Raid | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kerry’s Kiss | 2.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vino Tiempo | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fall in Love | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Top Gun Tommy | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eternally Grateful | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Drill’s Li’l Man | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Diablo Rojo | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Luna | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Raymond | 3.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ian Glass | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Russian to Win | 2.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pressure | 10.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vale | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gun Party | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Indy Magic | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’m McDreamy | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Caper’s Hooley | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Liam’s Journey | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Anthonian | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gold Sweep | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Daily Grind | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Millers Rite | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lat Long | 2.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ice Again | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hollywood Ending | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Redbird Nation | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Famous Final Scene | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charbon | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gluckstadt | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mount Craig | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fear of Union | 3.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rivetage | 2.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reveille Valley | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fastened | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.