Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 22, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Dear Chairman 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Magni 3.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Asset Management 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Powered by Coal 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Miles and Miles 5.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Lucky Dragon 6.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Dominican Pirate 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Raw Power 4.00 1 2-1
1A 6 Halo City 1.80 1.1 2-1
1 4 Jolly Miss Jill 1.80 1.6 3-1
3 2 Find Your Joy 2.00 1.7 3-1
7 8 Condiment Girl 15.00 2 4-1
4 3 Everlys Girl 12.00 2.2 4-1
6 7 Sister Linda 12.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Obstinate 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Heavenly Prize Invitational S.) – Heavenly Prize Invitational S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Weigh the Risks 1.20 1 2-1
7 7 Aussie Girl (IRE) 4.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Bon Adieu 15.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Kid’s Last Laugh 4.00 2 4-1
5 5 Bernietakescharge 12.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Catchphrase 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Patricia Ann 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Focus Pocus 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Blenheim Baby 5.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Beira 4.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Street View 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 To Be Loved by You 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Montauk Mystique 15.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Dat Dares Right 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 She’s Cool 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mr. Mendelssohn 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 York Tavern 5.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Sondsliksomdiniddo 5.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Boss Three O Two 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 King Freud 12.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Seventh Race Shake 15.00 5.6 10-1
8 8 King of the Gods 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Conniving 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Frizzante 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Traffic Master 6.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Houlton 3.00 3 6-1
7 7 Berning Beauty 10.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Scat Tu Tap 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Final Denile 15.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Blame It On Daddy 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Melt With You 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gridlock 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 My Royal Vow 12.00 3.1 6-1
5 4 Dashing Della 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 Lika Rolling Stone 8.00 3.7 7-1
9 8 Poseidon’s Mist 3.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Mysaria 20.00 4.8 9-1
3 98 Irish Jackson 0.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Fuligni 20.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Bedtime Story 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Beary Funny 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Waralo 4.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Humstinger 12.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Trust Fund 3.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Noonzio 3.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Concorde Spirit 15.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Braciole 8.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Golden Arm 50.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 11 Bourbon Chase 6.00 1 2-1
1 2 Liberte de Bayeux 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Shadow Dragon 10.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Smile Mon 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Emirates Road 3.50 3.6 7-1
2 1 Colloquy 8.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Good Money 5.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Iridescent 10.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Waitlist 10.00 6.5 12-1
1A 9 Stronsino 4.50 SCRATCH
9 10 Arrow Speed 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Trulli Magic 12.00 1 2-1
11 11 Vino Samara 30.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Into Stardom 3.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Eleni 15.00 2 4-1
12 12 Sassy Shenanigans 3.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Rare Society 15.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Lady Rainicorn 12.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Tizn’t Anymore 15.00 3.9 7-1
13 13 Twirly 6.00 4.5 9-1
14 14 Moontown 20.00 5 9-1
7 7 Lady of Mercia 50.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Will of a Womanne 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Otherpeoplesmoney 50.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Giuliana’s Dream 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Calisa 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.