Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sister Ella | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Custom Punch | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Pretty Sister | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Miss Deameanor | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Guitar Woman | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tap Galore | 3.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Country Belle | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fully Volatile | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Consecrated | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Passion Rules | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Porches | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Love Pack | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Ice | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kaely’s Sister | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ervadean | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Easy Red | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Harbor Springs | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sally’s Suprise | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Shild O Mine | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Jus Evelyn | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Awree | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spicy Mustard | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jus Makes Cents | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mallory Unbridled | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Diva | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Instaspeed | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Perfect Dixie Lady | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clearly Bella | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Reese’s World | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Montalcino | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ludwig | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Legalize | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Deer District | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vitement | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scat Free | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Whimsically | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Positive Carry (IRE) | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | High Shot | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sophie’s Cruiser | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Time Stone | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pioneer Mission | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Crank It Up | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Machiva | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stellify | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Scooteria | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stovall | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ranch Badge | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Comanche Warrior | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Strong Promise | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | F T W Slam | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Craken Jax | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Boo | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Steady On | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Create Trouble | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Towering Storm | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Smokey Mandate | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Freedom’s Way | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eff Thirty Five | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tough Little Nut | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | American Hope | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Camaro Z | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kigali | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No White Flags | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Love Me Not | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Rising Empire | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Billy’s Got Issues | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whole Lotta Lute | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Starstudded Affair | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiverton | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dapper Dude | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Corked | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bobby Merlot | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moonovermontgomery | 3.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Muntaliq | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Joeybones | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Country Cut | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.