Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Morning Thoughts | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Southern District | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cupid’s Claws | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Galatians | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gambling Tzar | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Winged Foot | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Formal Order | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Cardo | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stormy Hollow | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A B C Ya | 1.20 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cooltrain | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | All Fruits Ripe | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Nitro | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Peace Crusader | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Beach Cowboy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Order Ofthe Kettle | 1.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ascendance | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aim for the Cork | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prince of Portland | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Count Daddy | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Big Enchilada | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Moon Cache | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Philly | 1.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nancy Mary | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nick’s Notion | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon N Lace | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Dear Antonia | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Entente | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | Derbyness | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | War Master | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Virginia City | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Cap Com | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Collection Day | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hornbeam | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Stronsino | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Cocktails At Noon | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bondiva | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spencer Tiara | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dazzy | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kilo Road | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cluck Cluck | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Charlotte | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Takethemoneyhoney | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Genieinabridle | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Wide Country S.) – Wide Country S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Safe Trust | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Onyx Ten | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Not Too Late | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ourdaydreaminggirl | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Icona Mama | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shkhara Fire | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Field of Roses | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | New Boots | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Miracle Wood S.) – Miracle Wood S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sacred Thunder | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pay Billy | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Barbadian Runner | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crab Daddy | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | All the Hardways | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Studlydoright | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Divine Works | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Hype | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Greatwhitefleet | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | High Paf | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rina Is Fire | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Lena | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Antonacci Girl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.