Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Chun Money |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Levee Was Dry |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Good News Rocket |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
World Fair |
2.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Max Mischief |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Arjun for Karz |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tactical Man |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Heckamighty |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Hired Gun |
15.00 |
12.5 |
24-1 |
10 |
10 |
Ripped |
12.00 |
13.1 |
25-1 |
7 |
7 |
Doroteo |
3.00 |
16.9 |
32-1 |
6 |
6 |
Baobab |
3.50 |
16.9 |
32-1 |
2 |
2 |
Zardun |
4.00 |
17 |
32-1 |
3 |
3 |
Clever Again |
4.50 |
17 |
32-1 |
5 |
5 |
Shepherd |
6.00 |
17.1 |
32-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fever Night |
12.00 |
17.5 |
33-1 |
4 |
4 |
Just Classic |
20.00 |
18 |
34-1 |
8 |
8 |
Crisis Manager |
20.00 |
18 |
34-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Paint Baller |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Spielman |
3.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Simovic |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Handsome Herb |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Walstib |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Nyquist Frequency |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tiz My Hero |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Trusted Image |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jinxzi |
10.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sitka |
3.50 |
14.3 |
27-1 |
11 |
11 |
Red State |
20.00 |
15.3 |
29-1 |
5 |
5 |
B Sudd |
3.00 |
18.6 |
35-1 |
7 |
7 |
Goodasiwonswas |
4.00 |
18.8 |
35-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rowdy Riot |
8.00 |
19.2 |
36-1 |
4 |
4 |
Great Richie M |
8.00 |
19.2 |
36-1 |
9 |
9 |
Run Jalen Run |
10.00 |
19.4 |
37-1 |
2 |
2 |
I’m Wide Awake |
10.00 |
19.4 |
37-1 |
6 |
6 |
Manta Rey |
12.00 |
19.7 |
37-1 |
8 |
8 |
Breslau |
15.00 |
20 |
38-1 |
1 |
1 |
Distorted Pro |
15.00 |
20 |
38-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Changing Times |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Peace Dog |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Choctaw Zip |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Blessed Vision |
10.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Macho Ronnie |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
I’m an Oak |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
You Vee Cee |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
12 |
12 |
Colonel Barton |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Miri a Coincidence |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Dicey Wager |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Reef’s Destiny |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cooler King |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
13 |
13 |
Managing Mischief |
15.00 |
16.3 |
31-1 |
14 |
14 |
Popperina |
15.00 |
20.2 |
38-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ashburn Alley |
2.00 |
23.2 |
44-1 |
10 |
10 |
Theresasilverlinin |
3.50 |
23.3 |
44-1 |
2 |
2 |
Queen’s Martini |
4.50 |
23.4 |
44-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bennykayandsuzytoo |
6.00 |
23.5 |
44-1 |
7 |
7 |
Insightful Miss |
10.00 |
23.7 |
45-1 |
12 |
12 |
Gloriette |
10.00 |
23.7 |
45-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tiffany Twist |
12.00 |
23.8 |
45-1 |
11 |
11 |
Brooklynn Drew |
15.00 |
24 |
45-1 |
3 |
3 |
Princess Is Olivia |
20.00 |
24.3 |
46-1 |
9 |
9 |
Music Mistress |
30.00 |
24.9 |
47-1 |
8 |
8 |
That’s Our Vision |
30.00 |
24.9 |
47-1 |
6 |
6 |
Laurie’s Secret |
50.00 |
26 |
49-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Hot Day |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Wampus Kitten |
4.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
She’s Solid Silver |
12.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Chica Arma |
2.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Spin the Breeze |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sparkly |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Twas Lola |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
My Kinda Trouble |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Babe in the Woods |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Be My Huckleberry |
30.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lady Riley |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Justique |
2.50 |
18.7 |
35-1 |
1 |
1 |
Benedetta |
3.00 |
18.7 |
35-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lady Moscato |
3.50 |
18.7 |
35-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sandy Bottom |
4.50 |
18.8 |
36-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mazoku |
10.00 |
19.2 |
36-1 |
7 |
7 |
American Band |
10.00 |
19.2 |
36-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ms. Bucchero |
12.00 |
19.4 |
37-1 |
9 |
9 |
Pistol |
15.00 |
19.6 |
37-1 |
5 |
5 |
Miss Arlington |
20.00 |
20 |
38-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Museum Quality |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Preacher’s Kid |
5.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Big Bourbon River |
15.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Austin’s Map |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Safe Bet |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Penrod |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Gentle Ben |
30.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rerun |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mo Heartaches |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Run Deano Run |
30.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Shot At Pure Peace |
50.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
12 |
12 |
Oil Capital |
20.00 |
15.5 |
29-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cornucopian |
2.00 |
21.6 |
41-1 |
2 |
2 |
Faust |
4.00 |
21.7 |
41-1 |
1 |
1 |
Oy Gevald |
4.50 |
21.7 |
41-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sixtyseven Mustang |
6.00 |
21.8 |
41-1 |
10 |
10 |
Max Got Excited |
8.00 |
21.9 |
41-1 |
6 |
6 |
Chases Magic |
12.00 |
22.1 |
42-1 |
5 |
5 |
Zero Sugar |
15.00 |
22.2 |
42-1 |
4 |
4 |
Secret Legend |
15.00 |
22.2 |
42-1 |
11 |
11 |
Gun Runner Charlie |
15.00 |
22.2 |
42-1 |
8 |
8 |
Wise Decision |
20.00 |
22.5 |
43-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ready to Seize |
30.00 |
23 |
43-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Our Keepsake |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Xyngin Spitfire |
10.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Spirit Rules |
5.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Scrupulous |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
She’s Not a Joke |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Chojo |
15.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
What’s to Do |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Q’s Your Mama |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sweet Mother Mary |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Ethan Energy |
3.50 |
14.8 |
28-1 |
12 |
12 |
Dynamis |
30.00 |
15.3 |
29-1 |
11 |
11 |
Spoiler |
15.00 |
15.5 |
29-1 |
6 |
6 |
Nullify |
3.00 |
19.5 |
37-1 |
9 |
9 |
Imperial Gun |
4.50 |
19.7 |
37-1 |
2 |
2 |
Shot of Courage |
6.00 |
19.8 |
37-1 |
3 |
3 |
One Giant Leap |
8.00 |
20 |
38-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lambeth |
10.00 |
20.1 |
38-1 |
4 |
4 |
B D Saints |
12.00 |
20.3 |
38-1 |
1 |
1 |
Elusive Target |
12.00 |
20.3 |
38-1 |
5 |
5 |
Touch Of Glam (ARG) |
15.00 |
20.6 |
39-1 |
8 |
8 |
Harleezy |
20.00 |
21 |
40-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Lottery Ticket |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Zen Dreams |
10.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
My Shot |
5.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Cat Pays the Toll |
4.50 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Viveca |
15.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
St. Albans Raid |
6.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Kerry’s Kiss |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Pink Ruby |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Vino Tiempo |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Fall in Love |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Attache |
2.00 |
18.6 |
35-1 |
2 |
2 |
Just Steel |
2.50 |
18.6 |
35-1 |
10 |
10 |
Ninja Warrior |
4.50 |
18.8 |
35-1 |
6 |
6 |
Invulnerable |
5.00 |
18.8 |
36-1 |
7 |
7 |
Eglise |
12.00 |
19.4 |
37-1 |
9 |
9 |
Runaway Jack |
12.00 |
19.4 |
37-1 |
1 |
1 |
Carbone |
12.00 |
19.4 |
37-1 |
8 |
8 |
Big City |
15.00 |
19.6 |
37-1 |
5 |
5 |
Excitable Boy |
20.00 |
20 |
38-1 |
4 |
4 |
Nasty Habit |
20.00 |
20 |
38-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Top Gun Tommy |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
El Diablo Rojo |
8.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Raymond |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Eternally Grateful |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Drill’s Li’l Man |
20.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Russian to Win |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Vale |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pressure |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Ian Glass |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Golden Luna |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
In Just My Heels |
3.00 |
13.8 |
26-1 |
5 |
5 |
Peignoir |
2.50 |
18.8 |
36-1 |
10 |
10 |
Amber Cascade |
3.50 |
18.9 |
36-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bru Na Boinne |
6.00 |
19.1 |
36-1 |
8 |
8 |
Indy Label |
8.00 |
19.2 |
36-1 |
3 |
3 |
Broughty Ferry |
12.00 |
19.6 |
37-1 |
1 |
1 |
Under the Palms |
12.00 |
19.6 |
37-1 |
6 |
6 |
Majestic Oops |
15.00 |
19.8 |
37-1 |
9 |
9 |
Neom Beach |
20.00 |
20.2 |
38-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gold Medal Anna |
30.00 |
21 |
40-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bow Draw |
30.00 |
21 |
40-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Gun Party |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Indy Magic |
5.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
I’m McDreamy |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Caper’s Hooley |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Daily Grind |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gold Sweep |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Lat Long |
2.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Anthonian |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Liam’s Journey |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Millers Rite |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
13 |
13 |
Five G |
4.00 |
16.4 |
31-1 |
12 |
12 |
Quietside |
8.00 |
16.8 |
32-1 |
11 |
11 |
Anonima |
15.00 |
18.6 |
35-1 |
1 |
1 |
Muhimma |
1.40 |
20.8 |
39-1 |
6 |
6 |
Take Charge Milady |
4.50 |
20.9 |
40-1 |
9 |
9 |
Look Forward |
6.00 |
21 |
40-1 |
5 |
5 |
Quickick |
12.00 |
21.3 |
40-1 |
2 |
2 |
Necessity |
20.00 |
21.6 |
41-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jenkin |
20.00 |
21.6 |
41-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gunite Max |
30.00 |
22.1 |
42-1 |
8 |
8 |
Going Steady |
30.00 |
22.1 |
42-1 |
10 |
10 |
Flash Wear |
50.00 |
23 |
43-1 |
4 |
4 |
Classic Appeal |
50.00 |
23 |
43-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Ice Again |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hollywood Ending |
6.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gluckstadt |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
11 |
11 |
Famous Final Scene |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mount Craig |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Fear of Union |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rivetage |
2.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Charbon |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Redbird Nation |
30.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Reveille Valley |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Fastened |
30.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
12 |
12 |
Red Route One |
15.00 |
16.8 |
32-1 |
14 |
14 |
Seize the Night |
20.00 |
19.1 |
36-1 |
13 |
13 |
Creative Minister |
20.00 |
19.8 |
37-1 |
2 |
2 |
Banishing |
3.50 |
23.4 |
44-1 |
8 |
8 |
Baddest Good Boy |
4.50 |
23.5 |
44-1 |
3 |
3 |
First Mission |
5.00 |
23.5 |
44-1 |
1 |
1 |
Crupi |
6.00 |
23.6 |
45-1 |
5 |
5 |
Skinner |
6.00 |
23.6 |
45-1 |
4 |
4 |
Alexander Helios |
10.00 |
24 |
45-1 |
10 |
10 |
Cooke Creek |
12.00 |
24.2 |
46-1 |
9 |
9 |
Henro |
15.00 |
24.5 |
46-1 |
6 |
6 |
Full Screen |
15.00 |
24.5 |
46-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dimatic |
20.00 |
25 |
47-1 |
11 |
11 |
Tonka Warrior |
20.00 |
25 |
47-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Rebel S.) – Rebel S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Sandman |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Madaket Road |
4.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Bullard |
5.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Speed King |
6.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Smoken Wicked |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
13 |
13 |
Tiztastic |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hypnus |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Coal Battle |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Admiral Dennis |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Innovator |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dreaminblue |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Publisher |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
14 |
14 |
Hot Gunner |
50.00 |
14 |
26-1 |
12 |
12 |
Brereton’s Baytown |
50.00 |
14 |
26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Two Dollar Eddie |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tizmarkus |
3.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mayor |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
13 |
13 |
Pearcy Road |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
12 |
12 |
Miracle Mack |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cowboycents |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Touchdown Arkansas |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dawson James |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
14 |
14 |
God’s Country |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bote |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
A P Ruly |
20.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cutting Class |
20.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
6 |
6 |
My Russian |
30.00 |
14 |
26-1 |
1 |
1 |
Butch |
30.00 |
14 |
26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.