Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 23, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Super Swift 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Prince Valiant 3.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Kenny Be 2.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Three B’s 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Buttah 12.00 5 9-1
2 2 Just Clarity 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Quick Hammer 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 J D Factor 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Hatch 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Devil’s Cay 2.50 5.1 10-1
6 6 Omey Island 8.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Master Freud 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Revivalism 1.80 1 2-1
1A 8 Monomoys Partner 4.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Monomoy Beach 4.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Fines Creek 10.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Premier Cru 15.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Solar Glare 5.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Daytona Moonshine 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Romeo Void 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 1 Costa Terra 1.80 1 2-1
1 3 Bold Endeavor 2.00 1.8 3-1
7 9 Chelonian 6.00 2 4-1
2B 8 Just Call Ray 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 2 Lost in Rome 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 Jackson Heights 10.00 5.2 10-1
5 4 Sagamore Mischief 15.00 5.6 11-1
1A 7 Bold Victory 2.00 SCRATCH
2 6 Celestial Moon 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tracking Error 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Griffin’s Wharf 4.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Interceptor 3.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Quiet Moon 12.00 4 7-1
6 6 Kulapat 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Adventurist 4.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Easy Dial 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Tipple 6.00 1 2-1
4 3 Bells Beach 2.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Malu 4.50 3 6-1
7 8 Next On Stage 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 5 Call Her Bluff 4.50 5.4 10-1
5 4 Rising Inflation 3.50 6 11-1
2 1 On Command 8.00 6.7 13-1
1A 7 Luna Moth 4.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Man From Malta 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Monte Avi 6.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 King Phoenix 4.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Cada Dia Mejor 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Goodbye 15.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Marvelous Richard 12.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Frontal Vision 20.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Run With Honor 1.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 10 Funny Joke 2.50 1 2-1
5 6 Blake B. 4.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Flowing River 5.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Union Lights 10.00 3.8 7-1
7 8 Chalky Cat 3.00 SCRATCH
6 7 Persistent Danger 10.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Centavo 15.00 6.1 12-1
8 9 Indianquest 15.00 7.3 14-1
4 5 Dads Good Runner 15.00 SCRATCH
1A 4 Can’t Beat Me 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Broadway S.) – Broadway S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Speightful Lily 8.00 1 2-1
11 11 Tough Street 2.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 My Magic Wand 4.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Landed 3.50 3.8 7-1
9 9 Caldwell Luvs Gold 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Sweet Brown Sugar 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Bon Adieu 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Catchphrase 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Snappin Buttons 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Bernietakescharge 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Cara’s Time 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Grand Crossing 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Melancia 3.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Maxaluna 5.00 5 9-1
8 8 Game Like Reyana 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Last Mango 4.50 5.4 10-1
1 1 Katerina Ristova 12.00 6 11-1
7 7 Persuasive 10.00 7 13-1
2 2 Rasta Girl 30.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Improbable Friend 8.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.