Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bitsy Perfectmatch | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One Line Ruler | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mrs. Necaise | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Anslie’s Gumdrop | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Everylittlesingh | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Real Deal Ryan | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kappa Hill | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Clearsugar | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Gem | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wosiemaks | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fret No More | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Guillotine | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Reese’s World | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kisses for Cooper | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Deal | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Real Silk | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Take It to Court | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Norwich | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Toscano | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Battleoflexington | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | River Ridge | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cloud Forest | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Max Is G Money | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Concentration | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gorostieta’s Love | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Contemplation | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Baltimore Heart | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Just a Coed | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Low Key | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | J Bear Beach | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Catchyalater | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mostly Mischief | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heavenly Sunset | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chaching Chaching | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Aviso | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Manage Xpectations | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eyes On Italy | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ahamo | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lolo’s Girl | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reimagine | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | McKinzie Magic | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Toda Gaga | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Freeburn | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Darlin | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classy Judy G | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She Has It All | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wupkar | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blessed Assurance | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Custom Design | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal O’Haigain | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Like This | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wise Verdict | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Heza Pickle | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Peso Pesado | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | American Dollars | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Joey’s Lightening | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cypress Gold | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Knockalittlelouder | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Deer Crossing | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Moment of Stardom | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Cheatin Charlie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Secret | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mysterious Spirit | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bons Temps Roule | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | House Bourbon | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Ells | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gotmy Mo Jo Workin | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Creole Charlie | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sammy Danseur Jr. | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hard Four | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hooray Austin | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Handsome Harold | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cigar Van | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bouldering | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mucho Marvin | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jeb’s Lucky Eight | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zion | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Charli Michael | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Chad’s Flash | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.