Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shepherd | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fever Night | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Doroteo | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hired Gun | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just Classic | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zardun | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baobab | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ripped | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clever Again | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crisis Manager | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fire Bryan | 0.00 | 17 | 32-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Thunderstruck | 0.00 | 17 | 32-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Face Value | 0.00 | 17 | 32-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mad Adam | 0.00 | 17 | 32-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Candy for Carmel | 0.00 | 17 | 32-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Contrabandista | 0.00 | 17 | 32-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiwanaku | 0.00 | 17 | 32-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Distorted Pro | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Run Jalen Run | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Red State | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | B Sudd | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Great Richie M | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sitka | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’m Wide Awake | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Breslau | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Goodasiwonswas | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rowdy Riot | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Manta Rey | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Petula | 0.00 | 21 | 40-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Navagationalbeacon | 0.00 | 21 | 40-1 |
| 10 | 10 | She Be Sheehan | 0.00 | 21 | 40-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kitiara | 0.00 | 21 | 40-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’s Storming | 0.00 | 21 | 40-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magnolia Mae | 0.00 | 21 | 40-1 |
| 9 | 9 | War Music | 0.00 | 21 | 40-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chai Tea | 0.00 | 21 | 40-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Astrid | 0.00 | 21 | 40-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jeri Dawn | 0.00 | 21 | 40-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ashburn Alley | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Theresasilverlinin | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Popperina | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Brooklynn Drew | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Laurie’s Secret | 50.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen’s Martini | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Managing Mischief | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | That’s Our Vision | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bennykayandsuzytoo | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Insightful Miss | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Is Olivia | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Gloriette | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiffany Twist | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Music Mistress | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Expensive Cut | 0.00 | 23 | 43-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gasoline | 0.00 | 23 | 43-1 |
| 9 | 9 | W W Crazy | 0.00 | 23 | 43-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tapsasional | 0.00 | 23 | 43-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Paper | 0.00 | 23 | 43-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Right Tone | 0.00 | 23 | 43-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sunrise Drive | 0.00 | 23 | 43-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Polterer | 0.00 | 23 | 43-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sittin On Go | 0.00 | 23 | 43-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Carousel S.) – Carousel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sandy Bottom | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Benedetta | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Justique | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Band | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mazoku | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ms. Bucchero | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Arlington | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Moscato | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pistol | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Disco Ball | 0.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Osbourne | 0.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gold Luck | 0.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chiringo | 0.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Booth | 0.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wendelssohn | 0.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Secret Legend | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chases Magic | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gun Runner Charlie | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Max Got Excited | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zero Sugar | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Faust | 4.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oy Gevald | 4.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wise Decision | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cornucopian | 2.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Oil Capital | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sixtyseven Mustang | 6.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ready to Seize | 30.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bron and Brow | 0.00 | 22 | 42-1 |
| 6 | 6 | W W Scout’s Honor | 0.00 | 22 | 42-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Got Thunder | 0.00 | 22 | 42-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Willtorun | 0.00 | 22 | 42-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Macron | 0.00 | 22 | 42-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Proprietary Trade | 0.00 | 22 | 42-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sound Doctrine | 0.00 | 22 | 42-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Bob | 0.00 | 22 | 42-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Major Blue | 0.00 | 22 | 42-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Payne | 0.00 | 22 | 42-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | One Giant Leap | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shot of Courage | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Imperial Gun | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Touch Of Glam (ARG) | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Spoiler | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | B D Saints | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elusive Target | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nullify | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lambeth | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Harleezy | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Dynamis | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ethan Energy | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Warden | 0.00 | 20 | 38-1 |
| 2 | 2 | What Me Worry | 0.00 | 20 | 38-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Curvino | 0.00 | 20 | 38-1 |
| 8 | 8 | R Heisman | 0.00 | 20 | 38-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chief Liam | 0.00 | 20 | 38-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bermuda Blitz | 0.00 | 20 | 38-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Boat | 0.00 | 20 | 38-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heavenville | 0.00 | 20 | 38-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Attache | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Invulnerable | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carbone | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nasty Habit | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eglise | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just Steel | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big City | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Runaway Jack | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ninja Warrior | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Excitable Boy | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Meg’s Foxy Grey | 0.00 | 15.5 | 29-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lady of Silence | 0.00 | 17.6 | 33-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Trista | 0.00 | 22 | 42-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Avery’s Mischief | 0.00 | 22 | 42-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mia’s Mom | 0.00 | 22 | 42-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Therdgoesonforever | 0.00 | 22 | 42-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spring Dancer | 0.00 | 22 | 42-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dancing Eyes | 0.00 | 22 | 42-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Now We Go | 0.00 | 22 | 42-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dare to Fly | 0.00 | 22 | 42-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mendela | 0.00 | 22 | 42-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coaster | 0.00 | 22 | 42-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Trivista Overnight S.) – Trivista Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bru Na Boinne | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Peignoir | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gold Medal Anna | 30.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Neom Beach | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Broughty Ferry | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Oops | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Under the Palms | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | In Just My Heels | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Amber Cascade | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Indy Label | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bow Draw | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Pharoah’s Heart | 0.00 | 18.7 | 35-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dealing Justice | 0.00 | 23 | 43-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Xtreme Smoke Show | 0.00 | 23 | 43-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sharp Tune | 0.00 | 23 | 43-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tripolina | 0.00 | 23 | 43-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stellar Lily | 0.00 | 23 | 43-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Titled Lady | 0.00 | 23 | 43-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Always Angels | 0.00 | 23 | 43-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Marmalade Skye | 0.00 | 23 | 43-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Story Hour | 0.00 | 23 | 43-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Demidanu | 0.00 | 23 | 43-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Asternia | 0.00 | 23 | 43-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Honeybee S.) – Honeybee S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Muhimma | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quickick | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Look Forward | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Quietside | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jenkin | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Flash Wear | 50.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Take Charge Milady | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Five G | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Necessity | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Going Steady | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Anonima | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gunite Max | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Appeal | 50.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Innocence | 0.00 | 20 | 38-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spankerboom | 0.00 | 20 | 38-1 |
| 7 | 7 | G W’s Girl | 0.00 | 20 | 38-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wisconsin Gal | 0.00 | 20 | 38-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whata Moon | 0.00 | 20 | 38-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Martini | 0.00 | 20 | 38-1 |
| 4 | 4 | You’ll Be Back | 0.00 | 20 | 38-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Razorback H.) – Razorback H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Baddest Good Boy | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | First Mission | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Skinner | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Banishing | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Red Route One | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dimatic | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alexander Helios | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crupi | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Seize the Night | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Henro | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cooke Creek | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tonka Warrior | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Full Screen | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Creative Minister | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Just Ask Watts | 0.00 | 27 | 51-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Our Dream Rye’d | 0.00 | 27 | 51-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bolt At Midnight | 0.00 | 27 | 51-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fireball Birdie | 0.00 | 27 | 51-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mighty Message | 0.00 | 27 | 51-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rebelious | 0.00 | 27 | 51-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Myra’s Boy | 0.00 | 27 | 51-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Count Dracula | 0.00 | 27 | 51-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ice Express | 0.00 | 27 | 51-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Searcy | 0.00 | 27 | 51-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Luna Vieja | 0.00 | 27 | 51-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Juilliard | 0.00 | 27 | 51-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Double Barrel | 0.00 | 27 | 51-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Rebel S.) – Rebel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Tiztastic | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bullard | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Admiral Dennis | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Madaket Road | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sandman | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Publisher | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Speed King | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coal Battle | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Smoken Wicked | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hypnus | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Hot Gunner | 50.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Innovator | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dreaminblue | 15.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Brereton’s Baytown | 50.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | God’s Country | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Miracle Mack | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Two Dollar Eddie | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bote | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cowboycents | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | A P Ruly | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Pearcy Road | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dawson James | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tizmarkus | 3.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cutting Class | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Russian | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Touchdown Arkansas | 10.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mayor | 4.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Butch | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.