Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Let Seamus Go | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Hero | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cuban Confusion (GB) | 1.60 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nassau Circle | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mysterious Husband | 2.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Broski (IRE) | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cano for the Win | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dorine’s Wild Cat | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smile Baby Smile | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shanghai Mist | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shezarunaway | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Super Ellie | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bold Daughter | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Proof of Jazz | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ignatowski | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eligio | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Osage Creek | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arromax | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nobel Gary | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Factory Drive | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sinful King | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ride for Gold | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Special Flower | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bronko Nagurski | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Naismith | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oobubbakakayo | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Bet | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Maximus | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Legs Romolo | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Buckortwo | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Billy Joe Shaver | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | General Jackson | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chokechery Shari | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lookin for Curly | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Southern Tornado | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sir Nano | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Canyahearmeknockin | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oscar’s Mark | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kersting Court | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Thirsty Mufasa | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Tom | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nepal | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lava Lucy | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Go Cami Oh | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Butterfly Beach | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Elsa Dutton | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fielders Choice | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sei Bella | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Hottie | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wink and a Grin | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Man Child | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Haywood | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Navy Man | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prince Prancealot | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blue Cheese Olive | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Magic Account | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tequila Talkin | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rogue Son | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carol’s Comic | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Immelmann | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Adios Nicanor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jetovator | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Devil Be Me | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Doncic | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hacking It Up | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Don’t Swear Dave | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thirty Four Coupe | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Count of Amazonia (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moody Jim (IRE) | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nero Tulip (GB) | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Summer Dream | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sand to Sea | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stop Digging | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dorie Miller | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sharp Ride | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eltonsingsanother | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Maryann | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mayacama | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wishes to Riches | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Jersey Sunset | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Chasing Kat | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tizzy Twister | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Stellar Cap | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Keep Movin’ On | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | D D S Express | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moogie Son | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brazenly | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fly the Sky | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Silent Heat | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rodrigoknows | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cousin Richie | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Touchdown Brown | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Speed Grazy | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Investalot | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.