Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mad Adam | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiwanaku | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Face Value | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Thunderstruck | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Candy for Carmel | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Contrabandista | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fire Bryan | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lady Astrid | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | War Music | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Petula | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’s Storming | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | She Be Sheehan | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kitiara | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chai Tea | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magnolia Mae | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Navagationalbeacon | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jeri Dawn | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gasoline | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Polterer | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Expensive Cut | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tapsasional | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Paper | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sunrise Drive | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | W W Crazy | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sittin On Go | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Right Tone | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Commodore Overnight S.) – Commodore Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Disco Ball | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wendelssohn | 1.20 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Booth | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chiringo | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Osbourne | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gold Luck | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | W W Scout’s Honor | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bron and Brow | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Payne | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Macron | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Bob | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sound Doctrine | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Major Blue | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Willtorun | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Got Thunder | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Proprietary Trade | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Big Boat | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heavenville | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | R Heisman | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Curvino | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bermuda Blitz | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Warden | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chief Liam | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | What Me Worry | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Spring Dancer | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Avery’s Mischief | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dare to Fly | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mia’s Mom | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mendela | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coaster | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Now We Go | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dancing Eyes | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Trista | 6.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lady of Silence | 3.50 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Therdgoesonforever | 4.50 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Meg’s Foxy Grey | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tripolina | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sharp Tune | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Demidanu | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Story Hour | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Pharoah’s Heart | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Asternia | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Marmalade Skye | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Always Angels | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dealing Justice | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Xtreme Smoke Show | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stellar Lily | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Titled Lady | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Dixie Belle S.) – Dixie Belle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Miss Martini | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | G W’s Girl | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Whata Moon | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spankerboom | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | You’ll Be Back | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Innocence | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wisconsin Gal | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gunite Max | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Double Barrel | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Count Dracula | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fireball Birdie | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mighty Message | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Luna Vieja | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Juilliard | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bolt At Midnight | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Searcy | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Just Ask Watts | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Myra’s Boy | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rebelious | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ice Express | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Our Dream Rye’d | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.