Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 27, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lady Gunner 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Luckforyou 0.00 1 2-1
5A 5 Vanilla Sundae 0.00 1 2-1
3A 3 Ice Cream Boat 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Stone Cold Kelly 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 More Than Grace 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 La Grotte 0.00 1 2-1
3A 3 Pam Pam 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Looks First 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Backstretch Rose 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Scarlet’s Dream 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Soundbite 0.00 1 2-1
1A 1 Patty Brown Eyes 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 O P Firecracker 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Castle Island 0.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Narciso Dali 0.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Prince of Chill 0.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Stjames 0.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Collect From Ike 0.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Wake Surf 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lady Arwen 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Short Shift 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Alley’s Song 0.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Big Hazel 0.00 4 7-1
3 3 Troubled Luck 0.00 4 8-1
1 1 That’sthefactjack 0.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Majulu 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Certified Loverboy 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Praetorian Guard 0.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Clever Forever 0.00 2 4-1
3 3 Good Skate 0.00 2.7 5-1
6A 6 Toned Up 0.00 7.5 14-1
8A 8 Bold Victory 0.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Unbridled Bomber 0.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Dr. Kraft 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 My Angel 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Good Mission 0.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Eastern Star 0.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Miss Uproar 0.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 She’s a Natural 0.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Secret Fire 0.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Heavens Lee 0.00 7 13-1
1 1 Nikki Brainburst 0.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Spun Size 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dolomite 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Fast and Frisky 0.00 3 6-1
9 9 Khali Magic 0.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 P Mutter Pickle 0.00 6 11-1
6 6 Bernt Again 0.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Jackson’s Dixie 0.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Monetary Monarch 0.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Racing Colors 0.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Krystalheir 0.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Atrocious 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Sturdy 0.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Cuando 0.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Majestic Michael 0.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Good as He Gets 0.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Timing Difference 0.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Sounds Like Fun 0.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Golden Symphony 0.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Egypt 0.00 11 21-1
8A 8 Badge of War 0.00 11 21-1
5A 5 Scottish Storm 0.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.