Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 27, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Blondate 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Scootin’ Boots 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Jonas Grumby 15.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Political Agenda 4.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Battle Face 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 He’s a Real Outfit 6.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Lucky Bourbon 20.00 6 11-1
5 5 Flint Rock 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Greatizlove 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Capella Red 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Lady Helena 3.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Tootoo Tourist 4.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Foreign Tourist 4.50 5.7 11-1
8 8 Mrs. Macomber 4.50 5.7 11-1
1 1 Prize Debate 10.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Weather Map 15.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Sister Saint 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Rogue Diamond 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Beelieve Her 4.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 My Bossy Lady 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Miss Harmonic 4.50 5.2 10-1
7 7 Sweet Charlize 4.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Princess Pom Pom 6.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Spectacular Force 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Running Ragged 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Star Star Star 5.00 1.3 3-1
8 8 Custom’s Cleared 3.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Anacreon 4.50 4.7 9-1
5 5 Blame Me Seriously 4.50 5.1 10-1
9 9 Chaste One 15.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 That’s Apriority 8.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Turf Monster 8.00 8.8 17-1
7 7 Cesium 15.00 9.4 18-1
1 1 Rescue Squad 20.00 10.7 20-1
10 10 Jayne’s Rockstar 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 My Southern Girl 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Elwin 3.00 1.1 2-1
9 9 Gin Run 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Shehasanattitude 8.00 4 8-1
5 5 Hide the Bride 6.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Freedom Forever 4.50 5.1 10-1
8 8 Linda Faye 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 La Clasica 8.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Tale of Chianti 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Brian’s Iron Mike 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 He’s Just Lucky 3.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Bertie’s Galaxy 6.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Sono 12.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Marks Promise 4.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Tussling Charlie 3.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Big Chopper 10.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Mike J 20.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Sassi D 12.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Astrologysprotege 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pasketee 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Mystic Hope 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Garfish 4.50 5.3 10-1
9 9 Gordito Hermoso 3.50 5.9 11-1
2 2 Check Me Out 6.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Angelic Knight 10.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Petitfor 12.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Twofexusnexus 10.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Mr. Ronnie 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sycamore Shoals 4.50 1 2-1
11 11 Black Dog 8.00 2 4-1
12 12 Massarat 12.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Always Forever 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Rather Distinct 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Queen Jubilee 8.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Continuance 20.00 5.7 11-1
13 13 Goldenageactress 12.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Pretty Tapit 12.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Cantora 8.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Never Really Know (IRE) 8.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Spunderdog 12.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Twirling Dixie 5.00 SCRATCH
15 15 All Night Revival 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Miss Birkin (IRE) 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Gypsyroselee 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 Sikara Sikara 4.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Starsnmotion 12.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Miss Kennedy 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Sue’s Little Zing 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Dolly’s Guitar 5.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Agami 8.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Our Little Girl 10.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Averi Ever After 20.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Mila’s Kat 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Anita’s Vision 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.