Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 28, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Runninginthemoney 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Gypsy’s Soulmate 0.00 2 4-1
8 8 Oak Hill Lg 0.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Drilling Report 0.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Infinitesimal 0.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Kajun Karma 0.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Swift N Traffic 0.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Gallant Star 0.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Sparkin 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 American Know How 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Went West 0.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Midnight Fire 0.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 French Composer 0.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Eye Dee Kay 0.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Mahoney Road 0.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Seeking Sawyer 0.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Uncle Berley 0.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Six String 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Bayou Bertie 0.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Rue Lala 0.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Sassi Strutter 0.00 5.6 10-1
6 6 Luyv 0.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Sweet Sassicaia 0.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Daryl’s Bolt 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Sendemdowntheroad 0.00 2 4-1
1 1 Criminal Defense 0.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Hayhaycaptain Jac 0.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Creme de Bali 0.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Whiskey and Easy 0.00 2.9 5-1
10 10 Over Calendared 0.00 3 6-1
2 2 A’debris 0.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Homeland Messa 0.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Gimme the Candy 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Party On Girl (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Rambert 0.00 4 7-1
1 1 Ann Alee 0.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Huntleigh 0.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Rockets Sister 0.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Luminous Flight 0.00 7.1 13-1
14 14 Cloey Attack 0.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Sharper Gal 0.00 8.4 16-1
7 7 Chrome Attack 0.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Start Singing 0.00 9.7 18-1
13 13 Mairsils First 0.00 11 21-1
12 12 April’s Gem 0.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Sweet Temperament 0.00 SCRATCH
8 8 De’ Ans Eighty 0.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Problematica 0.00 SCRATCH
16 16 We’ll Do It Live 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 No No Joe 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Guile 0.00 2 4-1
5 5 Badgeball 0.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Its Just Money 0.00 3 6-1
4 4 Midnight Avenger 0.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Beautiful Life 0.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Kingscote 0.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Numero Siete 0.00 SCRATCH
1 1 American City 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Loterie (IRE) 0 0-1
3 3 War Siren (FR) 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Pisciotta (GB) 0.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Cairo Street 0.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Loterie (IRE) 0.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Dear Louise 0.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Ragtime Lady 0.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Toasted Roll 0.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Venomous Vixen 0.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Tuck Check 0.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Urban Star 0.00 7.7 15-1
12 12 No What Ifs 0.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Feeling Beachy 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 What’s Up Bertie 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Secret Wine 0.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Austyn Jane 0.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Diamond Country 0.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Kasens Tribe 0.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Strummin Mary 0.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Krafty Taffy 0.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Take My Candy 0.00 6.7 13-1
12 12 Risky Secret 0.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 One More Time Baby 0.00 8.2 15-1
9 9 Jewel Marie 0.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 Cajun Arrow 0.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Twiddly 0.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Secret Magic 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.