Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 1, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Unbroken Chain 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 King Solomon 12.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Ten Run Rule 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Call Me Calvin 15.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Oat Coutour 5.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Classic Martini 3.50 6.3 12-1
4 4 Kings and Queens 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 A Bourbon for Toby 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Toga d’Oro 5.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Grand Commander 1.40 2.4 4-1
6 6 My Man Magoo 15.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Gypsy Dreaming 12.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Stormin Sammy 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Vow of Secrecy 6.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Into Inspiration 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Mo Damorninggrouch 0 0-1
5 5 Proud Divi 1.80 1 2-1
8 8 Bussia 8.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Moonlit Weekend 5.00 4 8-1
6 6 Gregorian Solo 15.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Lady Sriracha 10.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Mia Nipotina 6.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Mo Damorninggrouch 20.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Despo’s Dream 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Tom Fool S.) – Tom Fool S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Top Gunner 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Full Moon Madness 3.00 1.3 3-1
6 6 Surveillance 6.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Bold Journey 4.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Runninsonofagun 2.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Ridgewood Runner 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Intentious 0 0-1
1A 10 Embraceable Gal 3.50 1 2-1
5 4 Fabulous Fox 20.00 1.8 3-1
9 8 First Class Cat 8.00 1.8 3-1
2 1 Ariana Rye 2.50 2.6 5-1
8 7 Easy Play 15.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 Top of the Table 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Catchphrase 3.00 4.3 8-1
1 9 Intentious 3.50 5.4 10-1
4 3 Thirteen Red Flags 10.00 6.1 11-1
3 2 Santagata 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stymie S.) – Stymie S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Coastal Mission 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Bank Frenzy 2.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Yo Daddy 4.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Law Professor 10.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Worcester 4.50 5 9-1
4 4 Winnin’onweekends 15.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Curbstone 10.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Concealed Carry 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Busher S.) – Busher S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Liam in the Dust 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 Sharp Smile 3.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Drexel Hill 6.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Volleyballprincess 8.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Amarth 10.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 She’s Fascinating 5.00 4 8-1
2 2 Ramify 3.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Fortuna Mia 15.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Nilo’s Rose 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Gotham S.) – Gotham S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Flood Zone 0 0-1
My Mitole 0 0-1
Flood Zone 0 0-1
5 5 Sand Devil 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Sacrosanct 3.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Calling Card 6.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Garamond 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Pagode 30.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Normandy Coast 15.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 McAfee 10.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 My Mitole 15.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Flood Zone 12.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Scorching 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Neural Network 8.00 1 2-1
8 9 Quick to Accuse 2.00 1 2-1
4 5 Land d’Oro 5.00 1.4 3-1
7 8 Mighty Atlas 8.00 1.9 4-1
6 7 Lotsa Trouble 10.00 3.1 6-1
10 11 The King Cheek 10.00 3.4 7-1
5 6 Sundaeswithsandy 10.00 3.9 7-1
1A 3 Hagrid’s Flame 4.00 4.4 8-1
3 4 Dolly’s Bank 30.00 5.6 11-1
9 10 Rock the Weekend 20.00 6.4 12-1
1 2 My Last Mission 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Vekinda 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Merica’s Back 4.50 2.4 4-1
9 9 Share the Ludt 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Roofer 10.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Nine N Four 10.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Alan Turing 30.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Toga Dan 8.00 6.6 12-1
12 12 Dio Romano 12.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Ragtime Prankster 20.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Disco Dervish 30.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Sanzio 15.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Perfect Shephard 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.