Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 2, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Brzina 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Shesalittle Edgy 1.60 1.3 2-1
6 6 Willow Bend 2.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Kitten’s Appeal 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Shetalkstomuch 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Collect Dattt 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Correction S.) – Correction S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Neverwalkalone (BRZ) 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 St. Benedicts Prep 1.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Sunday Girl 2.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Disco Ebo 4.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 Shop Lifting 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 D’s a Rock 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 April Storm 10.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Bam’s Bliss Kiss 1.80 2.8 5-1
1 1 Cara’s Dreamweaver 8.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Army Gal 3.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Valtellina 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Long Legged Queen 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Mulkey 1.60 1.8 3-1
1 1 I’m Kidding 4.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Otherpeoplesmoney 30.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Cajunette 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 She’s Wicked Smart 3.50 6.8 13-1
4 4 Sounds of Summer 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Outsource 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 The Tire Man 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Dr. Barry 8.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Romeo Void 3.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Home Invasion 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Kismeholdmethrlme 20.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Pistol Hip Sam 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Borracho 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Graywing 1.60 1.4 3-1
2 2 J J’s Joker 4.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Scaramanga 15.00 4 8-1
3 3 Honorary Degree 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Best Bet 6.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Poppy’s Pride 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 6 High Tide 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Khafre 6.00 2.8 5-1
1A 5 He’s Got This 2.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Majestic Frontier 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 7 Kahala 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 8 Allaboutthemoney 5.00 4 7-1
3 3 Gun Maestro 20.00 5.1 10-1
8 9 Prince of Joy 15.00 8 15-1
1 1 Splendor Beauty 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Save Us Melania 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 I’m Buzzy 2.50 1.5 3-1
8 8 Chasing Daylight 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Toned Up 5.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Foxy Cara 12.00 4 7-1
7 7 Autumn Glory 20.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Irish Jackson 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Echo in Eternity 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
True Connection 0 0-1
1A 7 Very Satisfactory 1.00 1 2-1
1 1 True Connection 1.00 1.7 3-1
8 9 Fluff the Pillow 3.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Bad Boy Butch 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Limits of Power 10.00 2.7 5-1
7 8 Tiz the Prince 4.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Noble One 30.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Belmont Union 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Lcgolucky 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.