Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 1, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Takethefifth 0 0-1
3 3 Don Corleone 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Spielman 4.50 1.6 3-1
8 8 Proton Spirit 3.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Unbridled Pleasure 15.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Marcus Gift 10.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Takethefifth 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Hen Hen 15.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Max Collector 12.00 8.5 16-1
10 10 Sargent Sully 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 C Mac Da Boss 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Rosalba the Wicked 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Moonie Pie 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Miss Makeithappen 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 All Star Tout 4.50 4.5 9-1
1 1 Wings of a Sparrow 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Kinsley Grace 20.00 6 11-1
4 4 Vanna G 15.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Congrats Cadet 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Sally O’Malley 0 0-1
5 5 Brunch Punch 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Sally O’Malley 2.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 No What Ifs 12.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Kiki Krazy 12.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Cynane 6.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Candy Lover 6.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Tapit Quick 3.50 7.5 14-1
8 8 Splash Master 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Louisiana Broodmare Of The Year Flashy Prize S.) – Louisiana Broodmare Of The Year Flashy Prize S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Blue Fire 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Margie’s Intention 2.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Incognito Burrito 8.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Powdered Sugar 3.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Lola and Rose 20.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Baytown Boujee 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 C C Short Drive 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Red Camelia S.) – Red Camelia S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Eye of the Pharaoh 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Highly Wicked 3.50 2.6 5-1
10 10 Clearly a Test 4.50 2.9 5-1
9 9 Boomin’ Belle 3.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Tommie G 20.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Ground Control 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Box of Pictures 12.00 6 11-1
5 5 Fort Polk 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Jus Press Star 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Dixie Farmer 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Just a Touch 0.80 1 2-1
4 4 Curlin’s Gesture 10.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Goldbrick 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Coppermaster 20.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Next Level 4.50 5.9 11-1
2 2 House United 10.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Orizzonte 5.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Runaway Charlie 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Edward J. Johnston Memorial S.) – Edward J. Johnston Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Behemah Star 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Calicoco 5.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 El Dinero 8.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Woods N Water 4.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Allnight Moonlight 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Benoit 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Blue Cheese 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Good and Stout 20.00 6 11-1
3 3 Gamer Nate 12.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Passing Judgment 12.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Wicked Secret 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Louisiana Stallion Of The Year Star Guitar S.) – Louisiana Stallion Of The Year Star Guitar S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Hay Jude 0 0-1
7 7 Hay Jude 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 He’s Late Again 12.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Dapper Moon 1.80 2.2 4-1
6 6 Cajun Mitole 3.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Boss of All Bosses 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Sippin On Gin 15.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 A Passive Nobody 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Black Gold S.) – Black Gold S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Chasing Liberty 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Golden Afternoon 3.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Curahee 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Tom’s Magic 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Lucky Mischief 15.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Without Caution 8.00 5 10-1
1 1 Emergence 4.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Trevaggio 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Play Mo 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Brittany’s Dream 6.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Izzy’s Baby Boy 4.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Macho Beanie 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Syvestar 12.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Sunday Breeze 10.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Ice’m Up Boys 3.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Take Charge J J 6.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Beauregard 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.