Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Takethefifth |
|
0 |
0-1 |
3 |
3 |
Don Corleone |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Spielman |
4.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Proton Spirit |
3.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Unbridled Pleasure |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Marcus Gift |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Takethefifth |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hen Hen |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Max Collector |
12.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sargent Sully |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
C Mac Da Boss |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Rosalba the Wicked |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Moonie Pie |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Miss Makeithappen |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
All Star Tout |
4.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Wings of a Sparrow |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Kinsley Grace |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Vanna G |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Congrats Cadet |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Sally O’Malley |
|
0 |
0-1 |
5 |
5 |
Brunch Punch |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sally O’Malley |
2.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
No What Ifs |
12.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kiki Krazy |
12.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cynane |
6.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Candy Lover |
6.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tapit Quick |
3.50 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Splash Master |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Louisiana Broodmare Of The Year Flashy Prize S.) – Louisiana Broodmare Of The Year Flashy Prize S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Blue Fire |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Margie’s Intention |
2.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Incognito Burrito |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Powdered Sugar |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lola and Rose |
20.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Baytown Boujee |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
C C Short Drive |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Red Camelia S.) – Red Camelia S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Eye of the Pharaoh |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Highly Wicked |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Clearly a Test |
4.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Boomin’ Belle |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tommie G |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ground Control |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Box of Pictures |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fort Polk |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jus Press Star |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Dixie Farmer |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Just a Touch |
0.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Curlin’s Gesture |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Goldbrick |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Coppermaster |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Next Level |
4.50 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
House United |
10.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Orizzonte |
5.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Runaway Charlie |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Edward J. Johnston Memorial S.) – Edward J. Johnston Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Behemah Star |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Calicoco |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
El Dinero |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Woods N Water |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Allnight Moonlight |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Benoit |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Blue Cheese |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Good and Stout |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gamer Nate |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Passing Judgment |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Wicked Secret |
20.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Louisiana Stallion Of The Year Star Guitar S.) – Louisiana Stallion Of The Year Star Guitar S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Hay Jude |
|
0 |
0-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hay Jude |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
He’s Late Again |
12.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dapper Moon |
1.80 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cajun Mitole |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Boss of All Bosses |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sippin On Gin |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
A Passive Nobody |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Black Gold S.) – Black Gold S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Chasing Liberty |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Golden Afternoon |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Curahee |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tom’s Magic |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lucky Mischief |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Without Caution |
8.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Emergence |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Trevaggio |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Play Mo |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Brittany’s Dream |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Izzy’s Baby Boy |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Macho Beanie |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Syvestar |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sunday Breeze |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ice’m Up Boys |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Take Charge J J |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Beauregard |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.