Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 2, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Renegade Warrior 0 0-1
3 3 Sulwe 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Gold Strategy 3.50 3.4 7-1
6 6 Summorya 8.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Lady Woopig 3.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Sistersouttachrome 10.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 C. C. Harbor 8.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Principal Anita 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
End of Innocence 0 0-1
4 3 End of Innocence 4.00 1 2-1
2 1 Spin the Breeze 6.00 1.5 3-1
1 7 Georgia On E’smind 15.00 2.4 5-1
3 2 No Pay No Hay 3.50 2.7 5-1
9 9 Ifuaintfirsturlast 3.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Thorn Crown 8.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 My Kinda Trouble 20.00 8.3 16-1
7 6 Miss Analyzed 10.00 8.6 16-1
11 12 Crystal Symphony 12.00 8.6 16-1
5 4 Sunnyandseventy 20.00 9.1 17-1
1A 11 Babe in the Woods 15.00 10.7 20-1
6 5 Be My Huckleberry 30.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Stellar Vino 0 0-1
1 1 Stellar Vino 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 Rivalry 1.80 1.3 2-1
4 4 Brave Blend 8.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Moneyshot 5.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Neon Nights 12.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Ultimate Strike 15.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Django 1.40 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Ben Dreaming 20.00 1 2-1
2 2 Aaron 3.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Lil Bro Coop 20.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Mighty Message 15.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Hess 8.00 3 6-1
4 4 Patch O’Brien 8.00 3.4 7-1
8 8 Dual Monarchy 20.00 4 8-1
10 10 Big Drinker 2.50 5.4 10-1
7 7 Jim Ned 4.50 9.1 17-1
1 1 Ain’t That a Kick 6.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Simovic 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Holster 15.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Nyquist Frequency 3.50 2.4 5-1
9 9 Tiz My Hero 15.00 3 6-1
7 7 Handsome Herb 12.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Trusted Image 20.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Irish Whiskey 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Paint Baller 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Walstib 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Saranac Lake 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Baby Gundin 2.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Singing Emma 15.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Clearly Creeps 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Butterfly Queen 6.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Undecoded 30.00 4.6 9-1
13 13 Spite Lite 8.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Dream Princess 5.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Fearless Kristie 20.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Courtney Fay 30.00 8.4 16-1
12 12 Star’s Dream 20.00 8.7 16-1
2 2 Queenies Way 50.00 11.4 21-1
9 9 Right Trappe 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Chip Shortage 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Nodouble Breeders’ S.) – Nodouble Breeders’ S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bohemian Bo 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Midnight Taxes 3.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Willow Creek Road 4.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Lochmoor 6.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Navy Seal 5.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 One Ten Stadium 4.50 5.6 11-1
4 4 King Peanut 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Velociraptor 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Trouble’s Roaring 3.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Secret Legend 10.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 First Bid 15.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Perfect Force 15.00 2.7 5-1
12 12 Jester Sang 20.00 3.6 7-1
11 11 Knicks Glory 20.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Grand Oracle 6.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Semper Invictus 4.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Dawn At Normandy 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Energize 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Chases Magic 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 First Division 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Landing Craft 2.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Bestfriend Rocket 6.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Lured Away 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Capo Luca 20.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Bout Tree Fiddy 30.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 McDude 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Chou Chou d’Aven (FR) 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Rocket Night 4.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Coach Sam P 15.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Devils Fork 3.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Westeros 20.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Dr. Storm 4.50 4.4 8-1
8 8 Unnecessary Tricks 15.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 More Money Mo 20.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Charming Tiger 8.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Crabtree 10.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Big Walk 30.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Cash App Mike 50.00 9.8 19-1
13 13 Hwy Twenty Ride 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.