Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Renegade Warrior |
|
0 |
0-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sulwe |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gold Strategy |
3.50 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Summorya |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lady Woopig |
3.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sistersouttachrome |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
C. C. Harbor |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Principal Anita |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
End of Innocence |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
3 |
End of Innocence |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
1 |
Spin the Breeze |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
7 |
Georgia On E’smind |
15.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
No Pay No Hay |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ifuaintfirsturlast |
3.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Thorn Crown |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
My Kinda Trouble |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
7 |
6 |
Miss Analyzed |
10.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
11 |
12 |
Crystal Symphony |
12.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
5 |
4 |
Sunnyandseventy |
20.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
1A |
11 |
Babe in the Woods |
15.00 |
10.7 |
20-1 |
6 |
5 |
Be My Huckleberry |
30.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Stellar Vino |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Stellar Vino |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rivalry |
1.80 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Brave Blend |
8.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Moneyshot |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Neon Nights |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ultimate Strike |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Django |
1.40 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Ben Dreaming |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Aaron |
3.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lil Bro Coop |
20.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mighty Message |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hess |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Patch O’Brien |
8.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dual Monarchy |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Big Drinker |
2.50 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jim Ned |
4.50 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ain’t That a Kick |
6.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Simovic |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Holster |
15.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Nyquist Frequency |
3.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tiz My Hero |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Handsome Herb |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Trusted Image |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Irish Whiskey |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Paint Baller |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Walstib |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Saranac Lake |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Baby Gundin |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Singing Emma |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Clearly Creeps |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Butterfly Queen |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Undecoded |
30.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
13 |
13 |
Spite Lite |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Dream Princess |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fearless Kristie |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Courtney Fay |
30.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
12 |
12 |
Star’s Dream |
20.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
2 |
2 |
Queenies Way |
50.00 |
11.4 |
21-1 |
9 |
9 |
Right Trappe |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Chip Shortage |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Nodouble Breeders’ S.) – Nodouble Breeders’ S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Bohemian Bo |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Midnight Taxes |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Willow Creek Road |
4.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lochmoor |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Navy Seal |
5.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
One Ten Stadium |
4.50 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
King Peanut |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Velociraptor |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Trouble’s Roaring |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Secret Legend |
10.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
First Bid |
15.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Perfect Force |
15.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
12 |
12 |
Jester Sang |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Knicks Glory |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Grand Oracle |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Semper Invictus |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Dawn At Normandy |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Energize |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Chases Magic |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
First Division |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Landing Craft |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bestfriend Rocket |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lured Away |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Capo Luca |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bout Tree Fiddy |
30.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
McDude |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Chou Chou d’Aven (FR) |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rocket Night |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Coach Sam P |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Devils Fork |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Westeros |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Dr. Storm |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Unnecessary Tricks |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
More Money Mo |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Charming Tiger |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Crabtree |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Big Walk |
30.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cash App Mike |
50.00 |
9.8 |
19-1 |
13 |
13 |
Hwy Twenty Ride |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.