Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dr Stricklands Ace | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Won Day | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Myfriendsawinner | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Copper Moon | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Commercial Flash | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sienna Breeze | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Blink | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Exington | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Betty’s Dance | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mighty Eriu (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Demanding | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Don’t Be Salty | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Mo Joke | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Red Zone | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Golden Irish | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rare Ruby | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Autumn Rhythm | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carson Bay | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Black Ginger | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Max’s Redemption | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Final Half | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seven Digits | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | The Wicked Cat | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Yankeestrolgy | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Custom for J J | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | First Samaritan | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Higher Charge | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen’s Knight | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | V Cut | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | One Grand Slam | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pip Squeek | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Viv’s Wild Aces | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Smoking | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rusty’s Sunrise | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Broadway Pearl | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Target | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smart Izzy | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Rosie | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Delicate | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Laws of a Nation | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Violences Ohr | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Mary | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Single Again | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lasko Lady | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Little Bit O Storm | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beamer | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tartaria | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Two Timer | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Smittys Cheetah | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pretty Prairie | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tensas Bolt | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sassi Idol | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Star | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ocean Vow | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Too Spicy | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Take Too | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Littlebitofaqueen | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mo Hay Baby | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Eskenforave and Ak | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Secret Rocket | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tonteria | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jackson D | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Takeover Fiftyfour | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nervy | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Game and Gormley | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Iron Moon | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Star Ready | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stone Alliance | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Play Master | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.