Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | No Fake | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Merrychill | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Snow Lake | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pretty Lily | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | One of the Ones | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Memento Mi | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Subway Susie | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Aztec Bay | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Raichu | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dynamitendiamonds | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Jones | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Melittlefrostgirl | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mia Counting | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hurricane Jane | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wylda Wylde | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beauty’s Trip | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Apollonia Vitelli | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Neighbelline | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moon Fleet | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Leretha | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mikey’s Song | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Love Like Crazy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahamian Baby | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | Faux Pas | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bahamian Baby | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Keystormrising | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | La de Peluche | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lookingfortreasure | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Winbori | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gortreagh Gal | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Charm of the Song | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | On Paradise Hill | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Norho’s Gamble | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whiskey and Rain | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Picardy | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Incan Moon Goddess | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Orley’s Angel | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | La Bella Borobeta | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Alilnalot | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Winning Candy | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sleipnir | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big John | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big John | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Raisedaroofcharlie | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Manolito | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Jo | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vicki Vale | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Pink | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Loveumom | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alyvia’s Girl | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bitcoin Baby | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Exhale | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Golden Candy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Get Set | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Party At Sam’s | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Young Squire | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prince of Rain | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eagles Cry | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tuff Constitution | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Greener Pastures | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eloquist | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | In Spades | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jamie Dreams | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Star | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Deposition | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Imagination | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Haired Gal | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 10 | 10 | Lady Robo | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Haired Gal | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flag Song Flyin | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jayce and Liam | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | End of the Rainbow | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Callie Rae | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Echo Lake | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spanish Girl | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sunny Side Up | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sister Eve | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | La Sierva C | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.