Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Tribest (ARG) |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tabor Time |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gift Gorgeous |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mally’s Monsoon |
5.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Copper Crush |
4.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Talkabout |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Run Away Samari |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bikini Bottom |
12.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
8 |
8 |
Blushing Bonnie |
10.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Hardly Able |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Adieu Aces |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Astrologysprotege |
8.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cryptozonic |
4.50 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wild Bert |
6.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Handsome Harold |
8.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Golden Palace |
12.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Father Goose |
12.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
5 |
5 |
Magawildtime |
8.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Kee Jee |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Breaking Star |
5.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Little Warrior |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Money Kingdom |
3.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Astroneer |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Party At Jays |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Daddy’s Code |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Catchin Drama |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Admiral Afleet |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rebind |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Koufax |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Write Off Jerry |
3.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Risk Manager |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Warrior Richard |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Agent Creed |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Breaking Alone |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Tres Soles |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Midnight Award |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Maasai Warrior |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Release McCraken |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Uxmal |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Carpis |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
The Boss Soss |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Yockey’s Drivethru |
3.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tambourine Star |
4.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pegaso |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sounds Like Power |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Titanium Deal |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Summertime Peppers |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Chad’s Flashy Ways |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Terra Bella |
|
0 |
0-1 |
11 |
11 |
Amadora’s Empire |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Always Practical |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Good Temper |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
12 |
12 |
Payrula |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Midnight Blaze |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Terra Bella |
4.50 |
5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Carolina Smokeshow |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Spun Up |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Tizntshelovely |
10.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Taco Cat Backwards |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Romany Road |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
13 |
13 |
Mad About Marie |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Curls Nite Out |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Discreet Mischief |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Pinfire |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Map to the Stars |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Risk It |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Saint Peter’s Bay |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Augusta Melody |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lucky Romance |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Optical |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Mardi Gras S.) – Mardi Gras S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Accomplished Girl |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Speedy Traveler |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Oeuvre |
3.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cupids Crush |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Big Trouble |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Non Violence |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Huntress for Hire |
5.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gavea (GER) |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
High Adventure |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Deelitesandimsum |
4.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
10 |
10 |
Star Rock Star |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Karnes |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Yorktown Panther |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Flat Out Fitz |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
My Man Brandon |
5.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Sarah’s Runner |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Quinnsaltyofficer |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Friendly Hint |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Steve’s Trouble |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.