Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 7, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Sheza Salty Gal 0 0-1
Adiamondinthestorm 0 0-1
5 5 Runtolive 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Double Gem 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Aspen Link 3.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Adiamondinthestorm 10.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Golden City 3.50 6.1 11-1
2 2 Beulah K 10.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Classic Deal 8.00 7 13-1
3 3 Sheza Salty Gal 5.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Flowersforshantell 0 0-1
7 7 Cotton Candy Annie 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Dre Me Less 4.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Jess’s Rainbow 4.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Simona’s Choice 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Roll Gypsy Roll 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Flowersforshantell 3.50 4.4 8-1
8 8 Lacis Jewel 20.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Xcaret 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Legacy Defined 0 0-1
Star Redemption 0 0-1
6 6 Prodigy Paradise 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Slick and Fast 4.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Our Determination 6.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Alvarado Cat 2.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Pop’s Peppysteper 4.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Star Redemption 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Steel Argument 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Josan 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Carthage Cajun 12.00 1 2-1
7 7 Summer in Aiken 8.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 El Perfecto 2.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Pure Malice 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Hexcel 3.50 5.5 10-1
8 8 Tiverton 4.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Alligator Crawl 8.00 7 13-1
9 9 Jimmie’s Halo 12.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Chief Kimosabi 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Prince Lancelot (GB) 0 0-1
1 1 Fit to Fly 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Voodoo Zip 4.50 1.1 2-1
6 6 Just Say When 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Prince Lancelot (GB) 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Saint Charles 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Channel Won 2.50 5.1 10-1
2 2 Afleet Ascent 12.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Poncho Attack 20.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Father Mark 8.00 6.5 12-1
13 13 Mesa Spirit 2.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Don’task Don’ttell 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Shut Up Man 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Appeal Denied 4.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Classic Moment 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 On Your Mark 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Atras 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Wicked as Haggart 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Misterholyroller 10.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Silent Breeze 15.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Hard Line 8.00 4 8-1
12 12 Regatta Bay 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Who Is Chief 4.00 5 9-1
5 5 Watchingtime 12.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 Doolgaroux 8.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Cool Guitar 8.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Bob’s Channel 20.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 No Turning Back 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Vineaux 20.00 9.6 18-1
13 13 Rexinator 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Uninspired 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Righthere Rightnow 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Legitimate Target (GB) 5.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Unleash the Power 3.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Sendero 8.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Doc Higgins 12.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Gorilla Trek 5.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Now and Later 4.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Dustin the Diamond 20.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 Pico d’Oro 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Sir Pistolero 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Drip d’Oro 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Cascade Cruiser 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 The Speedy One 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Apriority Avenger 6.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Catalina Day 3.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Jamaican Me 10.00 2 4-1
9 9 Apriority Rocket 4.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Baby’s Last Dance 12.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Harpes Hill 8.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Royal Unlimited 30.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Byathread 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.