Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Midway Vow |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
She’s a Reader |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Alltail |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Actin’ Up |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Moorea Time |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Open Flame |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Queen Wilhelmina |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Aunt Alex |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Miss Macy |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Kiamichi |
3.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Texas Sequoia |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Paris Accord |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Zettie |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Beachya |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Kava |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Confirmed Forgery |
30.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Closdatgate |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Super Enticing |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Boltoro |
8.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Big Bad Diva |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
H. T. Xena |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Makemebelieve |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mo Sense |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lady Commander |
2.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
What’s to Do |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Peppers Girlfriend |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Lambo |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Darrow |
1.60 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ambition |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bayou Blitz |
4.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Come to Papa |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bon Temps |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Can’t Stop Willis |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lebombo |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
American Litigator |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
Skelly Road |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Chun Money |
6.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mellifluous |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
World Fair |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Levee Was Dry |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Good News Rocket |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
My Kid Syd |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
American Litigator |
20.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Great Day for Vino |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Nothing But Heir |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Musical Prayer |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Belle Cherie |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Valhalla Vixen |
4.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Up the Creek |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Chica Arma |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Taker Back |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Wampus Kitten |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Wildwood Queen |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Devious Diva |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Miss Mikos |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Lady Riley |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Perfect Magic |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Go Captain |
1.80 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Red State |
12.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rowdy Riot |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Committee of One |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Go West Go |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gamblers Tail |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Nacho Bar |
30.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Royal Bro |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Copper Storm |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Northern Chill |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gold Sweep |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Devilish Desire |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Big Producer |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Global Legend |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Miracle Worker |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Normandy Queen |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Flashy Lass |
4.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Miss Hebrides |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Absinthe |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Claret Beret |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pretty Layla |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ba Dee Yah |
6.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Insensitive |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Wildwood Bye |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Time Andbeyond |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Miracle Mack |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
God’s Country |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Big Country Boy |
30.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hey Mister |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pearcy Road |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Speaking Loud |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Conway |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Golden City Street |
30.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Get the Boss |
30.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
5 |
5 |
Castle Gap |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.